Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-07-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80536 11302 727 1720 105 0 0 0
OW 8 11 23 704 253 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 381 1090 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 1492 250 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 130 1337 1144 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 2335 4752 585
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81735 10866 660 1338 87 0 0 0
OW 7 24 48 731 354 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 4 313 1072 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 101 1296 284 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 188 1393 1311 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 88 3881 3231 24
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82483 10744 613 1014 62 14 0 0
OW 6 18 66 577 153 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 587 859 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 2242 73 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 993 1728 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 4415 2119 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82566 10948 593 1024 100 22 0 0
OW 6 44 73 515 264 9 0 0
VODI 0 6 13 440 1362 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 84 1431 124 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 847 1707 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 381 5154 1238 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82566 10962 590 1042 111 27 0 0
OW 6 30 78 461 268 7 0 0
VODI 0 6 11 479 1236 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1486 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 117 901 1787 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 383 5103 1239 0

Date: 2023-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83947 9774 602 1084 137 0 0 0
OW 4 40 58 637 292 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 10 634 1275 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 187 1042 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 174 987 1743 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 510 5279 647 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83947 9777 606 1106 178 0 0 0
OW 4 40 56 597 269 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 10 664 1203 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 173 1013 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 176 1121 1819 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 459 5220 647 0

Date: 2023-07-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84205 9730 554 1000 111 0 0 0
OW 2 4 43 462 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1224 766 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 206 1638 96 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 584 4385 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 3184 773 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84203 9712 560 1219 175 0 0 0
OW 4 19 33 773 379 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 649 1010 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 738 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 148 710 2124 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 180 5472 773 0

Date: 2023-07-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84603 9656 537 917 91 0 0 0
OW 1 8 54 706 130 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 8 1157 930 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 156 974 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 587 4156 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 3737 490 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84603 9618 516 1281 178 0 0 0
OW 1 33 69 833 476 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 5 555 678 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 150 533 50 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 161 672 2084 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 202 5887 490 0

Date: 2023-07-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86238 8424 459 792 106 0 0 0
OW 0 59 88 934 187 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 27 947 809 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 166 627 172 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 706 3948 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 4026 230 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86237 8386 464 1417 315 0 0 0
OW 1 86 73 696 411 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 26 432 417 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 175 364 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 169 629 2410 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 385 5676 230 0


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