Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77737 11228 840 3418 184 0 0 0
OW 12 11 21 882 384 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 303 1063 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1099 389 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 1017 1956 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1166 5041 2109
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78964 10611 814 3301 239 0 0 0
OW 10 7 20 644 407 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 319 1006 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 48 887 667 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 956 1569 364 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 663 5242 2231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79748 11223 918 2093 57 0 0 0
OW 9 7 24 635 127 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 617 683 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 193 1664 210 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 1118 1618 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1590 5659 800
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80207 11328 858 1804 72 0 0 0
OW 9 10 17 727 175 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 439 1008 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 134 1654 187 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 1374 1089 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 2760 4585 500
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80207 11328 860 1870 82 0 0 0
OW 9 10 13 609 178 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 4 479 891 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 150 1686 102 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 98 1444 1157 33 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 2777 4588 500

Date: 2023-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83411 9257 623 1143 85 0 0 0
OW 7 38 54 755 251 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 4 367 1061 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 121 1414 260 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 176 1484 1138 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 3201 4061 52
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83411 9249 627 1223 115 0 0 0
OW 7 41 43 617 255 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 11 415 935 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 137 1432 215 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 170 1530 1229 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 81 3157 4034 52

Date: 2023-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81494 11341 705 1066 67 6 0 0
OW 7 7 45 601 122 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 622 675 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 2511 78 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 1135 1838 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 3964 2516 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81495 11284 695 1333 235 11 0 0
OW 6 44 44 531 345 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 12 338 1043 5 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 91 1294 140 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 189 1432 1237 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 4499 2536 0

Date: 2023-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82861 10440 655 1046 71 18 0 0
OW 6 27 95 512 225 8 0 0
VODI 0 2 6 501 1172 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 102 1808 86 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 877 1701 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 220 5100 1430 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82861 10352 648 1265 330 29 0 0
OW 6 93 79 351 446 3 0 0
VODI 0 19 25 338 1057 21 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 128 1002 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 180 1076 1184 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 462 5600 1448 0

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84438 9226 598 1048 82 17 0 0
OW 6 38 63 563 286 10 0 0
VODI 0 5 9 590 1297 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 115 1154 112 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 127 908 1790 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 588 5133 893 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84439 9175 582 1231 389 29 0 0
OW 5 58 64 526 425 2 0 0
VODI 0 25 12 333 976 15 0 0
ODI 0 11 9 120 643 55 0 0
CDI 0 0 4 233 1164 1352 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 718 5612 893 0


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