Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78067 19186 1781 6460 659 22 0 0
OW 14 265 191 2619 1139 47 8 0
VODI 0 85 91 1394 3229 187 30 0
ODI 0 15 28 470 3422 1068 107 1
CDI 0 2 3 299 4518 8663 1419 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 858 10746 18489 21463
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79605 19574 1746 6392 541 33 2 0
OW 11 311 197 2310 1210 121 10 0
VODI 0 128 101 1255 2684 299 35 0
ODI 0 39 34 399 3203 1516 60 1
CDI 0 9 13 327 3999 10241 1471 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 720 10926 22293 15232
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80866 21926 2073 4271 315 16 0 0
OW 13 70 182 2151 424 52 1 0
VODI 0 24 19 1923 2071 127 6 0
ODI 0 5 1 444 5317 1059 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 3546 12075 812 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 332 11854 26602 8363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81804 22715 1859 3708 309 16 0 0
OW 10 111 219 2206 600 33 0 0
VODI 0 15 23 1436 2796 252 5 0
ODI 0 5 3 358 4791 1381 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 139 3385 12947 1995 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 12479 23223 8005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81805 22738 1901 3985 370 18 0 0
OW 9 84 179 1861 665 41 0 0
VODI 0 18 21 1501 2524 261 4 0
ODI 0 6 3 354 4780 1320 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 146 3556 12982 2011 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 189 12486 23207 8005

Date: 2023-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86291 20368 1454 2706 397 7 0 0
OW 9 262 273 2173 722 69 0 0
VODI 0 20 38 1324 2819 694 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 328 4166 1719 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 206 3477 16247 1489 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 314 20135 18074 1258
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86287 20472 1501 3045 512 17 0 0
OW 13 149 224 1809 727 84 0 0
VODI 0 25 38 1363 2642 590 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 325 4057 1779 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 195 3631 16058 1433 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 326 20343 18130 1258

Date: 2023-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83051 23895 1935 2731 216 9 0 0
OW 7 44 214 1873 344 12 0 0
VODI 0 4 3 2125 1737 92 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 253 7549 829 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 129 2673 24349 779 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 285 17710 14007 185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83049 23690 1852 3531 592 23 0 0
OW 9 184 225 1607 899 113 12 0
VODI 0 64 66 1328 3151 412 0 0
ODI 0 5 9 376 4222 1470 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 269 3430 18581 1407 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 510 22402 13343 185

Date: 2023-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86459 22651 1519 2182 220 28 0 0
OW 6 210 295 1727 494 35 0 0
VODI 0 8 34 2088 2421 103 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 371 6683 1026 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 161 4513 21426 1101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 908 19540 10750 51
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86459 22303 1443 2671 718 70 0 0
OW 6 382 264 1513 1146 126 1 0
VODI 0 160 107 1452 3112 316 20 0
ODI 0 24 34 587 3959 1589 67 0
CDI 0 0 0 305 5113 18122 787 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 1191 21935 11014 51

Date: 2023-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91051 19029 1301 2099 260 36 0 0
OW 6 232 297 1895 648 38 0 0
VODI 0 40 72 2117 3040 150 16 0
ODI 0 0 2 437 6079 1132 35 0
CDI 0 0 1 253 4892 20915 1066 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1271 21148 7490 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91052 18576 1211 2565 934 97 1 0
OW 5 453 287 1723 1434 122 2 0
VODI 0 230 138 1346 3058 239 40 0
ODI 0 42 31 705 3823 1643 30 0
CDI 0 0 6 462 5547 18610 1387 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1394 22708 7147 0


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 18. sep. 13:33:03 +0000 2023 on arcval

 
See Met Privacy