Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 332 1840 150 218 8 0 0 0
OW 0 118 136 343 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 65 424 382 8 1 0
ODI 0 0 7 286 880 204 29 1
CDI 0 0 0 163 1486 3902 1367 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 230 2725 14089 2523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 284 1773 140 287 55 0 0 0
OW 0 174 91 384 152 1 0 0
VODI 0 85 78 418 436 47 0 0
ODI 0 13 48 328 1051 187 13 0
CDI 0 0 7 255 2253 3287 1428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 279 3060 12804 2637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 247 2012 266 436 48 0 0 0
OW 0 52 97 574 140 6 0 0
VODI 0 3 35 622 780 48 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 274 1910 299 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 2241 3101 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 1755 13578 3251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 231 2071 255 546 77 0 0 0
OW 0 138 115 525 292 20 0 0
VODI 0 32 76 585 902 72 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 317 1891 484 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 124 2338 2767 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 138 3002 8200 6639
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 231 2093 270 606 105 4 0 0
OW 0 112 98 468 281 18 0 0
VODI 0 35 77 600 849 76 2 0
ODI 0 1 7 305 1828 464 20 0
CDI 0 0 0 118 2479 2898 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 2885 8231 6639

Date: 2023-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 234 2231 275 540 99 15 0 0
OW 0 152 105 553 305 72 0 0
VODI 0 83 77 552 1021 198 6 0
ODI 0 3 19 330 1670 662 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 247 2105 2994 275 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 3393 8537 5216
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 234 2228 294 651 114 33 0 0
OW 0 142 87 434 315 64 0 0
VODI 0 94 75 564 1006 219 12 0
ODI 0 5 20 321 1611 630 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 252 2173 3004 216 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 3384 8594 5216

Date: 2023-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 254 2570 418 464 39 5 0 0
OW 0 40 131 648 124 24 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 840 725 54 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 169 3112 411 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1020 5702 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2356 11003 1753
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 254 2399 366 664 114 37 0 0
OW 0 141 89 573 337 91 0 0
VODI 0 66 79 546 1131 264 3 0
ODI 0 4 20 223 1621 537 11 0
CDI 0 0 2 136 1789 3958 427 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 3665 10746 1753

Date: 2023-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 238 2915 408 587 45 1 0 0
OW 2 17 86 738 196 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 622 1159 116 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 165 2343 790 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 1000 5804 742 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 3334 9022 1652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 240 2654 293 738 173 21 0 0
OW 0 214 125 563 359 146 0 0
VODI 0 57 62 455 1136 448 1 0
ODI 0 7 16 217 1353 598 14 0
CDI 0 0 4 176 1694 4847 849 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 48 4016 8906 1652

Date: 2023-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 292 2923 441 623 33 0 0 0
OW 2 28 106 786 288 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 9 541 1411 407 10 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 1980 894 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 917 7061 1199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1545 8207 2204
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 294 2790 377 765 182 58 0 0
OW 0 122 125 559 408 264 2 0
VODI 0 28 31 474 1073 604 9 0
ODI 0 11 14 182 1176 579 12 0
CDI 0 0 9 85 1664 5333 790 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 150 3100 8608 2204


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