Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75453 12033 740 1669 208 3 0 0
OW 42 62 26 794 455 7 0 0
VODI 0 46 12 398 1596 27 6 0
ODI 0 11 28 86 1671 441 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 813 2973 584 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 1295 4423 3135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75830 11672 706 2084 341 1 0 0
OW 41 74 24 689 822 12 0 0
VODI 0 47 14 272 1670 52 0 0
ODI 0 3 19 81 1408 447 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 690 2561 774 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 2247 5793 653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76005 11750 725 2090 226 0 0 0
OW 37 12 33 962 347 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 758 1334 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 41 1852 207 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 713 2731 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 496 6587 1692
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76811 11107 736 2325 205 0 0 0
OW 23 14 30 1210 468 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 12 696 1373 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 1226 323 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 857 2693 718 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 111 3089 4970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76811 11109 734 2777 272 0 0 0
OW 23 12 34 900 379 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 548 1210 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 56 1362 258 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 906 2733 652 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 141 3159 4970

Date: 2023-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76787 11327 717 2641 271 0 0 0
OW 19 11 31 1211 660 10 0 0
VODI 0 10 10 404 1382 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 964 407 30 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 751 2365 843 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 169 5124 2866
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76786 11329 712 3081 334 0 0 0
OW 20 16 38 774 550 11 0 0
VODI 0 3 8 407 1316 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 1039 320 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 789 2403 755 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 229 5228 2866

Date: 2023-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76776 11498 759 2469 225 0 0 0
OW 18 6 50 1148 306 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 950 850 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 1704 150 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 494 2538 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 321 5849 2742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76776 11476 760 3355 537 0 0 0
OW 18 26 40 844 538 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 10 365 980 93 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 43 875 422 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 645 2211 755 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 283 5253 2742

Date: 2023-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76449 12355 890 2910 111 0 0 0
OW 16 11 43 1197 251 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 565 895 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 1365 263 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 704 2242 199 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 752 2802 5021
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76449 12299 871 3661 290 0 0 0
OW 16 57 43 652 489 8 0 0
VODI 0 10 19 312 922 96 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 69 889 559 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 736 2047 892 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 547 2109 5020

Date: 2023-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77737 11228 840 3418 184 0 0 0
OW 12 11 21 882 384 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 2 303 1063 27 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 1099 389 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 45 1017 1956 109 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1166 5041 2109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77737 11172 815 3803 451 0 0 0
OW 12 56 30 489 534 49 0 0
VODI 0 12 17 267 919 145 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 86 793 813 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 1047 1988 776 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 543 4374 2109


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