Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74918 12107 614 1543 328 6 0 0
OW 50 97 49 665 374 14 0 0
VODI 0 52 12 397 944 46 0 0
ODI 0 40 10 123 1517 395 20 0
CDI 0 36 27 79 944 2819 924 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 97 1228 4957 3653
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73911 13168 667 1624 337 5 0 0
OW 50 69 46 649 467 14 2 0
VODI 0 44 11 341 1095 104 8 0
ODI 0 34 8 121 1525 590 66 0
CDI 0 33 24 93 1066 2439 632 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 57 1099 4655 4045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75263 12076 707 1515 235 3 0 0
OW 47 48 53 681 272 6 0 0
VODI 0 33 15 493 1013 17 3 0
ODI 0 9 20 115 2141 323 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 872 2940 629 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 839 4835 3877
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75302 11987 696 1753 187 3 0 0
OW 43 57 32 699 433 6 0 0
VODI 0 40 16 437 1458 24 3 0
ODI 0 10 24 103 1875 381 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 892 2804 728 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 772 4691 3587
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75302 11994 695 1867 231 3 0 0
OW 43 51 35 608 478 5 0 0
VODI 0 40 17 408 1407 25 4 0
ODI 0 9 21 106 1739 351 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 992 2803 693 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 803 4727 3587

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75936 11481 666 1982 291 3 0 0
OW 41 61 29 733 664 9 1 0
VODI 0 44 11 347 1606 43 7 0
ODI 0 4 20 103 1492 484 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 886 2572 736 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 1480 4220 3047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75936 11476 671 2130 409 3 0 0
OW 41 62 24 579 736 10 0 0
VODI 0 48 10 360 1366 44 9 0
ODI 0 4 21 87 1443 436 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 43 994 2615 717 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 30 1483 4238 3047

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76195 11588 658 1760 219 0 0 0
OW 38 24 52 823 290 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 5 802 1193 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 38 2383 175 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 551 2886 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2065 6321 684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76195 11479 646 2464 614 5 0 0
OW 38 71 29 553 766 17 0 0
VODI 0 50 19 287 1371 58 4 0
ODI 0 12 21 79 1222 438 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 663 2480 874 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 2148 5732 684

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75917 11656 791 2372 222 1 0 0
OW 24 9 28 1142 394 6 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 818 1307 33 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 1492 228 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 803 2649 663 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 250 4803 3420
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75917 11552 758 3309 529 17 0 0
OW 24 58 22 682 734 27 0 0
VODI 0 42 21 275 1173 77 7 0
ODI 0 13 23 90 1001 375 33 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 769 2400 1052 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 271 4380 3420

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76784 11246 742 2450 233 0 0 0
OW 20 20 32 1229 559 7 0 0
VODI 0 1 13 547 1382 35 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1055 397 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 910 2464 815 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 73 3067 4969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76782 11131 722 3371 746 24 0 0
OW 22 59 24 543 689 26 2 0
VODI 0 54 16 249 1070 133 11 0
ODI 0 23 23 58 758 424 67 0
CDI 0 0 2 51 848 2234 1135 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 135 2671 4953


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