Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 35 1343 112 148 4 0 0 0
OW 0 99 36 152 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 54 239 170 14 23 0
ODI 0 25 19 213 314 153 82 0
CDI 0 15 14 232 716 1735 476 4
VCDI 0 0 3 163 588 4254 18256 2293
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 1335 111 192 0 0 0 0
OW 0 105 24 179 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 43 201 228 19 12 0
ODI 0 26 25 198 370 183 89 1
CDI 0 11 22 255 695 1425 1133 6
VCDI 0 0 0 162 463 2654 15766 5994
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 32 1732 130 95 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 96 262 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 26 362 212 14 1 0
ODI 0 10 12 229 572 149 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 254 1059 1533 228 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 167 3245 15898 5656
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 233 1641 166 160 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 66 286 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 38 331 238 20 0 0
ODI 0 8 20 248 575 141 13 0
CDI 0 0 6 282 1038 1761 332 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 399 3755 15336 4827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 233 1644 173 205 7 0 0 0
OW 0 57 58 229 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 39 331 189 19 0 0
ODI 0 8 20 235 542 132 14 0
CDI 0 0 6 301 1111 1679 278 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 405 3847 15389 4827

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 1877 147 160 3 0 0 0
OW 0 69 77 311 71 2 0 0
VODI 0 58 55 322 350 15 7 0
ODI 0 15 20 231 542 192 39 0
CDI 0 5 16 281 1452 1536 532 11
VCDI 0 0 0 100 706 4439 16517 1872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52 1880 153 214 11 0 0 0
OW 0 67 67 230 61 1 0 0
VODI 0 55 59 336 295 12 5 0
ODI 0 14 18 217 505 195 35 0
CDI 0 8 18 316 1588 1393 544 11
VCDI 0 0 0 92 664 4583 16511 1872

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 228 1718 147 139 10 0 0 0
OW 0 50 113 337 66 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 21 487 327 4 2 0
ODI 0 4 8 195 939 145 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 111 1581 3576 361 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 205 4281 16360 646
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 228 1643 134 247 95 0 0 0
OW 0 74 62 204 149 2 0 0
VODI 0 36 47 295 290 82 9 0
ODI 0 8 27 188 453 291 19 0
CDI 0 18 19 283 1235 2132 1091 33
VCDI 0 0 0 52 906 5499 15618 613

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 353 1905 101 131 5 0 0 0
OW 0 99 118 359 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 36 444 342 9 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 226 726 181 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 150 961 3592 1317 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 3020 13952 3856
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 353 1789 110 234 92 0 0 0
OW 0 149 43 160 128 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 78 298 316 33 8 0
ODI 0 17 21 287 454 213 52 0
CDI 0 0 3 305 933 2248 2542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 242 4308 12727 3856

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 332 1840 150 218 8 0 0 0
OW 0 118 136 343 104 0 0 0
VODI 0 18 65 424 382 8 1 0
ODI 0 0 7 286 880 204 29 1
CDI 0 0 0 163 1486 3902 1367 43
VCDI 0 0 0 0 230 2725 14089 2523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 332 1730 125 328 73 0 0 0
OW 0 142 68 173 190 12 0 0
VODI 0 71 89 300 296 51 4 0
ODI 0 24 52 316 548 144 37 0
CDI 0 9 24 316 1351 3304 3399 92
VCDI 0 0 0 1 632 3328 12046 2475


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