Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1007 314 912 244 24 0 0
OW 0 60 37 435 595 168 2 0
VODI 0 33 15 290 504 277 69 0
ODI 0 13 9 132 361 784 223 0
CDI 0 14 25 96 598 1902 2766 1
VCDI 0 0 0 164 304 2025 14654 16809
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1143 393 1031 467 81 0 0
OW 0 99 56 380 484 149 0 0
VODI 0 61 24 263 530 460 9 0
ODI 0 31 12 143 575 1030 46 0
CDI 0 38 13 176 710 2933 1034 6
VCDI 0 7 5 158 415 2360 17237 13307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1801 411 1104 346 0 0 0
OW 0 58 21 460 281 3 0 0
VODI 0 38 5 235 656 42 0 0
ODI 0 35 7 118 866 383 5 0
CDI 0 6 11 129 642 3035 1218 40
VCDI 0 0 0 0 430 2800 19507 11173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2085 400 1178 261 0 0 0
OW 0 80 33 453 339 5 0 0
VODI 0 36 11 403 747 104 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 189 929 352 8 0
CDI 0 24 14 370 1724 2479 850 7
VCDI 0 0 0 30 519 1975 14672 15565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2075 404 1230 296 0 0 0
OW 0 86 27 365 344 5 0 0
VODI 0 37 12 430 701 110 0 0
ODI 0 20 7 179 949 411 15 0
CDI 0 25 14 351 1624 2369 844 10
VCDI 0 0 0 68 605 2020 14671 15562

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2460 417 1103 280 0 0 0
OW 0 116 72 492 369 15 0 0
VODI 0 57 25 414 864 135 0 0
ODI 0 32 20 115 941 534 14 0
CDI 0 33 24 101 363 3748 666 18
VCDI 0 16 19 86 290 2153 16303 13571
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2455 425 1144 314 0 0 0
OW 0 122 59 368 356 15 0 0
VODI 0 45 27 500 854 157 3 0
ODI 0 38 19 115 914 563 19 0
CDI 0 35 24 99 376 3766 693 21
VCDI 0 19 23 85 293 2084 16268 13568

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3091 556 1189 133 0 0 0
OW 0 276 118 730 245 0 3 0
VODI 0 89 39 712 1035 46 9 0
ODI 0 40 33 144 2017 507 11 0
CDI 0 3 12 57 572 1762 183 1
VCDI 0 0 0 27 79 2128 16404 13615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2777 499 1264 293 1 0 0
OW 0 184 58 446 480 35 4 0
VODI 0 137 68 466 952 156 28 0
ODI 0 127 40 212 1043 254 55 0
CDI 0 222 64 337 1138 1701 807 8
VCDI 0 52 29 134 175 2296 15716 13608

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 3835 521 1227 368 414 0 0
OW 0 82 66 574 397 253 0 0
VODI 0 44 14 327 941 522 0 0
ODI 0 27 25 123 1004 1004 29 0
CDI 0 9 7 106 550 1345 325 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 220 4383 13708 13392
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8 3378 397 1106 451 16 0 0
OW 0 240 98 462 503 81 10 0
VODI 0 178 56 351 936 221 37 0
ODI 0 51 29 163 788 1214 62 0
CDI 0 79 19 113 403 2102 963 0
VCDI 0 71 34 178 399 4287 12990 13392

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 4035 586 1317 686 388 0 0
OW 0 97 51 543 608 241 0 0
VODI 0 36 19 259 1078 496 2 0
ODI 0 25 31 92 874 741 27 0
CDI 0 15 8 153 660 1571 784 0
VCDI 0 0 0 53 964 3356 12592 13419
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59 3525 466 1131 637 42 0 0
OW 0 259 56 477 547 166 6 0
VODI 0 183 70 267 813 485 27 0
ODI 0 70 29 142 904 1069 56 0
CDI 0 71 27 157 680 1388 1266 4
VCDI 0 100 47 243 1289 3643 12050 13415


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