Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-06-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74953 14457 1040 2603 576 30 0 0
OW 50 256 122 1252 995 182 2 0
VODI 0 157 81 926 1618 337 92 0
ODI 0 78 38 468 2192 1332 325 0
CDI 0 65 66 407 2258 6456 4166 5
VCDI 0 0 3 342 989 7507 37867 22755
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73958 15646 1171 2847 804 86 0 0
OW 50 273 126 1208 970 163 2 0
VODI 0 194 78 805 1853 583 29 0
ODI 0 91 45 462 2470 1803 201 1
CDI 0 82 59 524 2471 6797 2799 12
VCDI 0 7 5 321 935 6113 37658 23346
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75295 15609 1248 2714 581 3 0 0
OW 47 158 170 1403 573 9 0 0
VODI 0 89 46 1090 1881 73 4 0
ODI 0 54 39 462 3579 855 14 0
CDI 0 6 11 388 2573 7508 2075 40
VCDI 0 0 0 15 606 6884 40240 20706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75535 15713 1262 3091 448 3 0 0
OW 43 193 131 1438 803 11 0 0
VODI 0 108 65 1171 2443 148 3 0
ODI 0 36 50 540 3379 874 30 0
CDI 0 24 20 670 3654 7044 1910 7
VCDI 0 0 0 73 948 6502 34699 23979
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75535 15713 1272 3302 534 3 0 0
OW 43 194 120 1202 849 10 0 0
VODI 0 105 68 1169 2297 154 4 0
ODI 0 37 48 520 3230 894 36 0
CDI 0 25 20 673 3727 6851 1815 10
VCDI 0 0 0 117 1038 6670 34787 23976

Date: 2023-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75988 15818 1230 3245 574 3 0 0
OW 41 246 178 1536 1104 26 1 0
VODI 0 159 91 1083 2820 193 14 0
ODI 0 51 60 449 2975 1210 68 0
CDI 0 38 40 416 2701 7856 1934 42
VCDI 0 16 19 186 1035 8072 37040 18490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75988 15811 1249 3488 734 3 0 0
OW 41 251 150 1177 1153 26 0 0
VODI 0 148 96 1196 2515 213 17 0
ODI 0 56 58 419 2862 1194 69 0
CDI 0 43 42 458 2958 7774 1954 45
VCDI 0 19 23 177 987 8150 37017 18487

Date: 2023-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76423 16397 1361 3088 362 0 0 0
OW 38 350 283 1890 601 3 3 0
VODI 0 96 65 2001 2555 67 11 0
ODI 0 44 41 377 5339 827 27 0
CDI 0 3 12 168 2704 8224 854 1
VCDI 0 0 0 27 302 8474 39085 14945
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76423 15899 1279 3975 1002 6 0 0
OW 38 329 149 1203 1395 54 4 0
VODI 0 223 134 1048 2613 296 41 0
ODI 0 147 88 479 2718 983 97 0
CDI 0 240 83 660 3036 6313 2772 41
VCDI 0 52 29 186 1099 9943 37066 14905

Date: 2023-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76278 17396 1413 3730 595 415 0 0
OW 24 190 212 2075 875 259 0 0
VODI 0 52 56 1589 2590 564 2 0
ODI 0 27 25 404 3222 1413 93 0
CDI 0 9 7 256 2314 7586 2305 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 272 7653 32463 20668
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76278 16719 1265 4649 1072 33 0 0
OW 24 447 163 1304 1365 108 10 0
VODI 0 277 155 924 2425 331 52 0
ODI 0 81 73 540 2243 1802 147 0
CDI 0 79 23 449 2105 6750 4557 0
VCDI 0 71 34 204 658 8866 30097 20668

Date: 2023-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77175 17121 1478 3985 927 388 0 0
OW 20 235 219 2115 1271 248 0 0
VODI 0 55 97 1230 2842 539 3 0
ODI 0 25 38 420 2809 1342 60 1
CDI 0 15 8 320 3056 7937 2966 43
VCDI 0 0 0 53 1194 6154 29748 20911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77173 16386 1313 4830 1456 66 0 0
OW 22 460 148 1193 1426 204 8 0
VODI 0 308 175 816 2179 669 42 0
ODI 0 117 104 516 2210 1637 160 0
CDI 0 80 53 524 2879 6926 5800 112
VCDI 0 100 47 244 1949 7106 26767 20843


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