Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72052 14081 695 1520 416 13 0 0
OW 59 67 35 591 316 37 0 0
VODI 0 62 8 340 641 63 8 0
ODI 0 70 10 137 982 273 39 0
CDI 0 46 26 130 1448 2307 829 0
VCDI 0 12 31 128 220 1965 5879 3564
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73671 12589 661 1575 419 20 0 0
OW 56 72 23 545 394 25 1 0
VODI 0 67 9 316 731 70 13 0
ODI 0 71 10 158 879 433 42 0
CDI 0 75 22 116 1056 2423 1068 0
VCDI 0 45 26 138 266 1395 4863 4757
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74784 12051 681 1499 264 1 0 0
OW 51 69 48 649 266 3 0 0
VODI 0 50 8 484 774 19 0 0
ODI 0 49 19 118 1611 237 1 0
CDI 0 17 15 70 1046 3609 672 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 1009 5449 3316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74250 12658 680 1639 254 2 0 0
OW 50 72 49 642 354 4 0 0
VODI 0 54 11 392 911 36 0 0
ODI 0 45 7 116 1553 340 9 0
CDI 0 46 25 52 977 3114 808 0
VCDI 0 0 0 26 94 1055 5060 3715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74250 12684 690 1707 267 3 0 0
OW 50 62 41 573 348 5 0 0
VODI 0 42 11 395 892 31 0 0
ODI 0 44 5 114 1528 325 10 0
CDI 0 43 25 54 1005 3036 789 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 103 1151 5078 3715

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75118 11929 620 1583 362 16 0 0
OW 50 89 49 622 428 17 0 0
VODI 0 53 16 344 1049 64 4 0
ODI 0 37 10 122 1591 440 15 0
CDI 0 40 24 87 1056 2677 638 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 101 1110 4782 3948
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75118 11983 633 1657 364 16 0 0
OW 50 56 44 517 434 14 0 0
VODI 0 38 11 380 1073 56 4 0
ODI 0 36 8 118 1480 420 19 0
CDI 0 35 23 88 1123 2670 766 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 113 1148 4650 3948

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74408 12912 664 1310 261 3 0 0
OW 50 61 66 669 207 5 0 0
VODI 0 28 10 644 745 8 2 0
ODI 0 12 18 133 2465 203 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 818 3216 352 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 776 4668 4362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74413 12861 663 1660 400 6 0 0
OW 45 59 54 502 548 15 4 0
VODI 0 31 14 370 1198 113 13 0
ODI 0 33 6 130 1342 679 87 0
CDI 0 29 21 100 968 2429 729 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 969 4194 4362

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75178 12153 641 1639 213 3 0 0
OW 44 56 36 673 357 7 0 0
VODI 0 39 13 475 1263 21 3 0
ODI 0 6 21 104 1918 445 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 869 2868 777 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 883 4459 3891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75179 12058 607 1893 514 9 0 0
OW 43 81 41 455 752 26 4 0
VODI 0 42 28 370 1143 241 16 0
ODI 0 40 10 93 1252 661 109 0
CDI 0 33 25 89 941 2387 922 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 903 4198 3891

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75453 12033 740 1669 208 3 0 0
OW 42 62 26 794 455 7 0 0
VODI 0 46 12 398 1596 27 6 0
ODI 0 11 28 86 1671 441 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 813 2973 584 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 1295 4423 3135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75454 11927 707 1955 597 9 0 0
OW 41 75 41 522 898 18 8 0
VODI 0 51 20 349 1328 182 22 0
ODI 0 53 5 62 1160 662 55 0
CDI 0 46 33 85 741 2572 742 23
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 1303 4195 3112


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