Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 713 75 260 12 0 0 0
OW 0 19 20 138 0 4 0 0
VODI 0 11 9 149 92 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 100 272 74 3 0
CDI 0 20 24 188 752 999 107 0
VCDI 0 0 0 64 693 6391 15641 5226
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 881 126 187 7 1 0 0
OW 0 32 20 152 6 8 0 0
VODI 0 28 21 162 99 32 1 0
ODI 0 25 21 109 301 124 45 0
CDI 0 28 26 195 781 1085 232 1
VCDI 0 1 8 115 792 6555 15940 3930
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1060 105 191 3 0 0 0
OW 0 36 56 206 20 3 0 0
VODI 0 27 35 211 152 31 4 0
ODI 0 9 14 164 355 98 46 0
CDI 0 6 7 130 776 1157 469 4
VCDI 0 0 0 88 503 3634 18118 4358
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 1280 108 168 7 0 0 0
OW 0 85 35 170 27 4 0 0
VODI 0 76 49 219 155 19 18 0
ODI 0 17 19 216 294 120 68 3
CDI 0 11 12 192 736 1527 422 2
VCDI 0 0 2 146 565 5583 17795 1896
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 1283 114 196 8 0 0 0
OW 0 80 27 150 28 5 0 0
VODI 0 78 49 200 155 16 19 0
ODI 0 17 20 217 283 98 67 3
CDI 0 11 13 199 727 1552 443 2
VCDI 0 0 2 149 583 5582 17774 1896

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 1352 113 161 0 0 0 0
OW 0 98 28 171 23 0 1 0
VODI 0 96 43 218 193 21 21 0
ODI 0 26 26 208 301 196 70 1
CDI 0 10 17 252 756 1454 1001 8
VCDI 0 0 1 154 460 3198 15818 5556
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 30 1348 113 192 2 0 0 0
OW 0 93 25 147 28 0 2 0
VODI 0 97 47 198 184 23 23 0
ODI 0 31 24 206 289 183 77 1
CDI 0 13 18 272 747 1440 990 8
VCDI 0 0 1 149 483 3223 15819 5556

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1518 125 163 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 85 268 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 17 430 194 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 181 679 134 18 0
CDI 0 0 7 214 907 1776 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 118 2091 15289 7478
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 37 1360 109 206 14 0 0 0
OW 0 103 22 155 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 56 210 252 31 16 0
ODI 0 24 25 228 320 178 103 1
CDI 0 11 27 339 894 1313 890 0
VCDI 0 0 1 121 387 2486 14555 7477

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 1797 153 112 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 85 256 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 39 351 210 11 0 0
ODI 0 11 21 272 597 99 1 0
CDI 0 0 5 292 1022 1628 230 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 312 4270 15963 4167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 1493 91 150 4 0 0 0
OW 0 151 29 130 75 4 0 0
VODI 0 157 67 173 266 58 0 0
ODI 0 58 63 208 289 183 47 0
CDI 0 30 43 472 1027 1448 859 0
VCDI 0 0 10 177 500 4315 15288 4167

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 247 1691 152 151 3 0 0 0
OW 0 57 63 310 50 2 0 0
VODI 0 57 40 343 273 26 0 0
ODI 0 16 19 235 565 175 26 0
CDI 0 1 8 287 1040 1803 427 1
VCDI 0 0 0 49 518 2983 17285 3179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 247 1357 94 181 25 0 0 0
OW 0 138 19 140 96 1 0 0
VODI 0 186 44 152 274 58 0 0
ODI 0 82 61 217 331 173 26 0
CDI 0 45 56 479 1021 1740 1065 0
VCDI 0 14 8 206 702 3017 16647 3180


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