Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-06-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 491 202 388 19 1 0 0
OW 0 110 88 443 163 11 0 0
VODI 0 65 39 336 568 74 4 0
ODI 0 33 22 163 472 285 49 0
CDI 0 18 12 231 563 1292 527 3
VCDI 0 21 9 120 424 3211 11649 23760
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 617 182 371 51 0 0 0
OW 0 114 74 476 248 9 0 0
VODI 0 90 32 337 618 43 19 0
ODI 0 49 37 150 509 195 65 0
CDI 0 43 24 272 590 1477 851 0
VCDI 0 16 16 131 418 1819 14867 21056
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 668 281 549 77 0 0 0
OW 0 59 32 573 389 12 0 0
VODI 0 18 26 320 848 214 0 0
ODI 0 15 11 143 531 676 9 0
CDI 0 44 15 185 769 4147 557 0
VCDI 0 2 1 21 266 1858 16898 15652
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 911 297 818 142 8 0 0
OW 0 73 39 467 561 138 5 0
VODI 0 44 16 283 499 255 135 0
ODI 0 32 10 142 308 533 419 0
CDI 0 50 12 136 581 1865 2811 0
VCDI 0 1 2 54 399 1755 14719 17346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 914 294 940 253 4 0 0
OW 0 77 43 357 452 125 1 0
VODI 0 42 17 285 498 305 130 0
ODI 0 28 9 136 330 494 391 0
CDI 0 49 12 131 576 1891 2911 0
VCDI 0 1 1 51 381 1735 14656 17346

Date: 2023-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 996 325 1078 387 17 0 0
OW 0 65 56 401 580 119 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 253 582 366 15 0
ODI 0 31 6 116 554 897 65 0
CDI 0 32 13 131 809 2838 1389 5
VCDI 0 8 3 75 381 1890 15771 15550
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1000 331 1169 438 13 0 0
OW 0 61 51 311 477 96 0 0
VODI 0 50 13 250 609 361 22 0
ODI 0 33 6 120 620 874 76 0
CDI 0 30 12 127 763 2888 1399 5
VCDI 0 6 4 77 386 1895 15743 15550

Date: 2023-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1554 395 847 324 7 0 0
OW 0 86 59 523 281 34 0 0
VODI 0 39 9 346 590 67 0 0
ODI 0 31 13 111 882 333 1 0
CDI 0 0 3 85 600 3197 753 1
VCDI 0 0 0 65 276 2394 19178 12782
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1463 354 1053 631 90 0 0
OW 0 112 77 291 336 157 4 0
VODI 0 67 25 238 518 524 102 0
ODI 0 35 7 138 505 729 743 0
CDI 0 27 11 117 461 1983 1728 10
VCDI 0 6 5 140 502 2549 17355 12773

Date: 2023-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1711 373 1300 418 0 0 0
OW 0 62 24 457 314 12 0 0
VODI 0 35 5 271 711 72 0 0
ODI 0 25 6 121 883 412 6 0
CDI 0 17 13 233 1026 3423 937 0
VCDI 0 0 0 74 495 1979 17572 12879
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1579 324 1321 775 15 0 0
OW 0 119 54 326 455 99 0 0
VODI 0 64 14 331 860 321 35 0
ODI 0 25 9 199 788 1328 114 0
CDI 0 40 7 136 454 2207 1089 1
VCDI 0 23 13 143 515 1928 17277 12878

Date: 2023-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2168 442 1196 240 0 0 0
OW 0 73 51 495 394 12 0 0
VODI 0 33 14 408 854 95 0 0
ODI 0 22 11 154 1092 260 5 0
CDI 0 35 20 88 1718 2687 685 28
VCDI 0 3 11 61 431 1922 16286 13872
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2013 403 1230 784 17 0 0
OW 0 158 47 358 638 48 0 0
VODI 0 66 36 321 1094 273 6 0
ODI 0 25 18 278 1204 1442 45 0
CDI 0 48 27 165 572 1244 869 66
VCDI 0 24 18 50 437 1952 16056 13834


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