Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 14859 755 1156 250 33 1 0
OW 62 10 57 634 354 29 1 0
VODI 0 1 2 361 643 104 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 762 155 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 1184 2635 552 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 136 2544 5399 5538
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70968 14734 699 1297 421 76 0 0
OW 57 57 65 517 436 48 5 0
VODI 0 9 29 289 587 90 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 143 625 238 45 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 1450 2042 604 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 493 2868 6701 3423
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71325 14524 709 1388 334 15 0 0
OW 56 16 50 708 298 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 443 592 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 153 1224 120 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 109 1771 2584 233 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 272 2216 7241 2635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72025 13986 763 1428 409 4 0 0
OW 57 39 33 611 311 24 0 0
VODI 0 41 11 403 613 65 0 0
ODI 0 49 14 124 993 234 29 0
CDI 0 17 31 109 1356 2754 886 0
VCDI 0 0 3 140 196 1664 6117 3561
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72025 13982 756 1488 426 4 0 0
OW 57 42 42 535 284 23 0 0
VODI 0 43 9 414 613 68 2 0
ODI 0 54 13 119 975 248 41 0
CDI 0 11 31 113 1365 2809 818 0
VCDI 0 0 4 146 215 1593 6171 3561

Date: 2023-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73357 12868 650 1631 383 21 0 0
OW 58 77 44 520 334 37 0 0
VODI 0 66 8 312 719 65 11 0
ODI 0 69 9 141 820 442 76 0
CDI 0 59 20 105 1045 2294 1066 0
VCDI 0 35 32 156 211 1626 5081 4652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73357 12862 651 1660 381 23 0 0
OW 58 82 43 474 327 30 0 0
VODI 0 76 8 321 707 72 13 0
ODI 0 76 9 159 819 436 107 0
CDI 0 41 18 93 1080 2600 1004 0
VCDI 0 37 34 158 198 1324 5110 4652

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74447 12214 630 1409 272 9 0 0
OW 52 101 55 629 197 10 0 0
VODI 0 45 13 548 685 26 2 0
ODI 0 26 28 129 1705 159 6 0
CDI 0 1 9 49 841 4270 453 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 21 467 5614 3976
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74445 11978 632 1700 380 18 0 0
OW 54 76 22 421 412 23 3 0
VODI 0 101 14 325 749 89 11 0
ODI 0 90 10 159 937 425 63 0
CDI 0 93 22 62 974 2857 951 0
VCDI 0 49 35 99 269 1529 5047 3976

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74623 12253 674 1607 279 3 0 0
OW 50 60 31 681 281 6 0 0
VODI 0 46 9 407 873 24 0 0
ODI 0 50 10 107 1639 244 3 0
CDI 0 36 23 76 985 3278 860 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 139 918 5198 3613
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74621 11928 656 1760 445 14 0 0
OW 52 100 19 449 405 25 0 0
VODI 0 124 17 347 824 106 3 0
ODI 0 93 12 175 1017 424 73 0
CDI 0 106 12 57 1314 2944 756 0
VCDI 0 94 31 104 191 960 5229 3613

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74918 12107 614 1543 328 6 0 0
OW 50 97 49 665 374 14 0 0
VODI 0 52 12 397 944 46 0 0
ODI 0 40 10 123 1517 395 20 0
CDI 0 36 27 79 944 2819 924 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 97 1228 4957 3653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74918 11946 602 1626 586 15 0 0
OW 50 106 47 419 455 28 1 0
VODI 0 117 16 389 869 197 18 0
ODI 0 71 9 223 872 579 134 0
CDI 0 69 18 101 1210 2520 1047 0
VCDI 0 23 20 64 212 1169 4701 3653


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