Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-05-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70726 15392 844 1256 263 33 1 0
OW 62 117 123 912 466 30 1 0
VODI 0 88 85 795 1040 175 3 0
ODI 0 12 30 417 1303 476 62 7
CDI 0 23 10 227 1910 3988 1588 27
VCDI 0 0 2 86 954 9879 37113 36522
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70968 15343 767 1404 427 76 0 0
OW 57 253 179 836 571 51 5 0
VODI 0 138 102 797 1017 183 22 0
ODI 0 29 38 502 1092 610 97 0
CDI 0 6 15 352 2325 3290 1481 3
VCDI 0 0 0 124 1778 10723 37442 33945
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71325 15618 966 1712 361 15 0 0
OW 56 67 130 1331 387 33 1 0
VODI 0 21 31 1001 1151 87 7 0
ODI 0 13 8 403 2013 409 34 0
CDI 0 0 10 360 2627 4570 830 78
VCDI 0 0 0 40 883 6805 34129 39536
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72025 15186 1080 1934 429 4 0 0
OW 57 119 112 1297 429 32 0 0
VODI 0 83 54 908 1271 102 2 0
ODI 0 80 30 411 1861 398 65 0
CDI 0 47 61 438 2970 4716 1288 2
VCDI 0 10 13 222 1635 9363 31704 36610
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72025 15158 1072 2116 464 4 0 0
OW 57 150 120 1101 415 33 0 0
VODI 0 79 53 910 1206 99 5 0
ODI 0 86 30 405 1744 386 78 0
CDI 0 42 60 451 3065 4791 1210 5
VCDI 0 10 15 227 1701 9302 31766 36607

Date: 2023-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73358 14256 988 2151 418 21 0 0
OW 58 225 146 1151 518 48 0 0
VODI 0 164 59 809 1403 144 24 0
ODI 0 130 63 408 1599 718 131 0
CDI 0 121 68 557 2427 4666 1963 0
VCDI 0 101 43 506 2764 10055 30508 34279
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73358 14245 1000 2317 446 24 0 0
OW 58 219 130 977 521 36 0 0
VODI 0 178 59 809 1275 150 25 0
ODI 0 138 60 410 1547 663 170 0
CDI 0 108 72 548 2480 5106 1811 0
VCDI 0 109 46 521 2860 9673 30620 34279

Date: 2023-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74459 13851 1016 1984 330 9 0 0
OW 52 219 169 1392 337 14 0 0
VODI 0 120 55 1439 1587 56 6 0
ODI 0 59 65 465 3204 393 40 0
CDI 0 22 34 442 3882 9021 1054 2
VCDI 0 0 0 136 572 6802 38528 25232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74457 13404 955 2380 531 18 0 0
OW 54 237 93 998 647 29 3 0
VODI 0 195 62 891 1371 134 34 0
ODI 0 178 71 479 1874 689 188 0
CDI 0 174 95 556 3254 5556 2014 2
VCDI 0 83 63 554 2235 9869 37389 25232

Date: 2023-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74644 14216 1092 2448 363 4 0 0
OW 50 174 94 1424 791 65 0 0
VODI 0 108 66 914 1702 408 18 0
ODI 0 79 35 433 2376 927 284 0
CDI 0 91 50 340 2363 6703 3734 5
VCDI 0 2 1 161 1059 8127 36772 24925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74642 13583 946 2427 647 15 0 0
OW 52 318 109 847 772 55 0 0
VODI 0 228 101 837 1368 290 55 0
ODI 0 199 55 565 1584 1021 335 1
CDI 0 209 58 565 2691 5706 3506 6
VCDI 0 133 69 479 1592 9147 36912 24923

Date: 2023-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74953 14457 1040 2603 576 30 0 0
OW 50 256 122 1252 995 182 2 0
VODI 0 157 81 926 1618 337 92 0
ODI 0 78 38 468 2192 1332 325 0
CDI 0 65 66 407 2258 6456 4166 5
VCDI 0 0 3 342 989 7507 37867 22755
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74953 13861 866 2342 883 16 0 0
OW 50 370 150 812 815 50 8 0
VODI 0 306 140 852 1419 418 99 0
ODI 0 223 59 703 1412 1298 460 0
CDI 0 198 73 754 2576 5811 4514 12
VCDI 0 55 62 535 1523 8251 37371 22748


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh ma. 18. sep. 12:18:31 +0000 2023 on arcval

 
See Met Privacy