Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 6 14 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 62 33 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 140 188 149 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 411 1500 8088 35227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 1 0 1 6
ODI 0 0 0 9 35 37 18 21
CDI 0 0 0 10 183 327 317 52
VCDI 0 0 0 8 437 2003 11028 31361
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 2 10 3 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 29 59 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 250 302 299 7
VCDI 0 0 0 17 455 2146 9763 32450
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 14 3 10 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 32 67 34 1
CDI 0 0 0 8 310 291 281 6
VCDI 0 0 0 17 391 2149 9774 32450

Date: 2023-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 14 3 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 24 44 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 263 322 314 14
VCDI 0 0 0 16 510 1942 11637 30663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 4 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 12 2 11 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 27 52 56 5
CDI 0 0 0 3 346 334 297 21
VCDI 0 0 0 16 426 1923 11644 30651

Date: 2023-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 40 26 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 123 50 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 552 794 110 6
VCDI 0 0 0 30 681 1718 11617 30028
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 13 9 13 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 42 68 60 1
CDI 0 0 0 47 334 538 276 16
VCDI 0 0 0 49 994 1949 11389 30017

Date: 2023-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 27 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 43 53 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 50 170 72 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 62 670 674 224 14
VCDI 0 0 0 83 519 2321 13757 27074
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 3 6 11 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 32 38 33 22 0
ODI 0 0 0 49 118 106 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 93 541 499 242 13
VCDI 0 0 0 96 716 2435 13689 27075

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 28 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 55 55 17 12 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 155 108 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 90 602 795 378 1
VCDI 0 0 0 82 533 2741 12424 27677
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 1 0 5 0
OW 0 0 0 12 18 18 14 0
VODI 0 0 0 56 62 82 35 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 117 107 51 0
CDI 0 0 0 86 420 480 284 81
VCDI 0 0 0 106 735 2974 12446 27597


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