Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66381 16340 701 1116 320 27 0 0
OW 52 136 100 472 285 63 0 0
VODI 0 35 54 361 476 138 2 0
ODI 0 4 2 186 419 234 25 0
CDI 0 1 0 121 473 490 184 0
VCDI 0 1 4 84 403 3303 8679 7428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66438 16117 659 1318 448 33 0 0
OW 52 168 104 418 283 64 0 0
VODI 0 57 70 328 418 153 5 0
ODI 0 28 11 188 413 217 52 0
CDI 0 24 17 97 540 522 259 0
VCDI 0 7 10 65 397 3882 9215 6023
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66635 16184 706 1309 281 18 0 0
OW 52 135 70 499 295 49 0 0
VODI 0 59 46 284 596 118 5 0
ODI 0 33 23 155 528 276 18 0
CDI 0 23 5 69 512 1330 318 0
VCDI 0 18 7 54 371 4209 7407 6403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67017 16138 686 1243 304 34 1 0
OW 52 164 94 457 336 63 7 0
VODI 0 29 65 358 524 134 21 0
ODI 0 12 13 207 463 239 38 0
CDI 0 17 7 131 505 1084 463 0
VCDI 0 0 4 27 361 4289 7787 5726
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67017 16180 698 1273 339 43 3 0
OW 52 119 88 446 307 57 5 0
VODI 0 33 58 353 520 140 21 0
ODI 0 12 13 196 449 246 38 0
CDI 0 16 7 125 510 1010 428 0
VCDI 0 0 5 30 368 4347 7822 5726

Date: 2023-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67198 16174 656 1262 335 38 1 0
OW 52 163 97 429 338 87 10 0
VODI 0 81 69 374 417 165 12 0
ODI 0 34 28 161 478 225 32 0
CDI 0 16 16 110 527 1108 519 0
VCDI 0 8 1 37 429 4541 7555 5317
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67198 16222 687 1302 380 69 2 0
OW 52 118 79 407 316 68 9 0
VODI 0 74 57 367 415 161 13 0
ODI 0 36 25 145 473 219 31 0
CDI 0 19 17 115 519 1240 517 0
VCDI 0 7 2 37 421 4407 7557 5317

Date: 2023-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67588 15844 709 1215 267 21 0 0
OW 52 154 122 614 286 32 6 0
VODI 0 74 39 410 613 57 10 0
ODI 0 9 14 120 659 266 29 0
CDI 0 3 2 53 482 1708 221 0
VCDI 0 19 0 19 384 4238 6795 5966
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67588 15819 711 1386 410 62 11 0
OW 52 139 76 441 275 46 10 0
VODI 0 83 60 298 494 101 21 0
ODI 0 38 25 131 485 277 44 0
CDI 0 21 13 108 511 1168 420 0
VCDI 0 3 1 67 516 4668 6555 5966

Date: 2023-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67913 15878 702 1356 239 23 11 0
OW 51 153 99 488 358 16 5 0
VODI 0 40 35 321 589 79 0 0
ODI 0 9 11 131 562 244 1 0
CDI 0 13 0 92 614 1195 198 0
VCDI 0 14 0 13 543 3973 7376 5755
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67913 15801 679 1382 360 32 14 0
OW 51 144 75 364 334 34 2 0
VODI 0 98 58 296 507 134 0 0
ODI 0 40 23 155 475 323 16 0
CDI 0 20 12 158 503 930 335 0
VCDI 0 4 0 46 726 4077 7224 5755

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67654 15948 671 1251 355 34 21 0
OW 60 241 73 417 402 32 4 0
VODI 0 115 50 252 554 141 3 0
ODI 0 21 24 114 507 351 27 0
CDI 0 13 2 125 480 949 499 3
VCDI 0 8 0 32 505 4006 7628 5528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67654 15919 616 1233 526 65 24 0
OW 60 189 106 335 373 67 3 0
VODI 0 126 37 277 475 222 12 0
ODI 0 83 30 117 428 282 91 0
CDI 0 26 27 131 432 848 443 0
VCDI 0 3 4 98 569 4029 7609 5531


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