Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 9 14 33 9 0 0
OW 0 5 7 9 20 23 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 21 23 31 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 34 25 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 75 32 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 649 6083 24841
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 5 12 32 6 0 0
OW 0 5 13 14 32 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 27 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 22 28 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 46 56 53 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 729 6417 24397
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 15 8 21 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1 1 18 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 57 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 50 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 27 131 22 27
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 412 5721 25449
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 8 15 22 4 0 0
OW 0 0 1 19 11 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 25 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 27 43 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 124 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 289 5256 26124
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 9 20 21 5 0 0
OW 0 0 0 17 10 17 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 1 26 41 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 24 42 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 37 116 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 295 5255 26124

Date: 2023-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 8 9 17 0 0 0
OW 0 3 5 12 11 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 26 21 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 26 36 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 33 61 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 145 3174 28397
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 30 8 9 16 0 0 0
OW 0 2 5 14 11 13 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 19 24 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 22 31 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 32 60 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 150 3174 28397

Date: 2023-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 15 24 6 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 29 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 64 12 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 89 65 6 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 336 5034 26254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 13 22 9 0 0 0
OW 0 2 3 17 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 14 50 9 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 93 29 0 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 375 5040 26254

Date: 2023-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 57 30 21 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 2 40 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 37 43 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 57 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 90 13 0 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 82 637 3661 27271
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 52 15 15 1 0 0 0
OW 0 7 13 17 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 4 36 27 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 52 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 111 9 0 15
VCDI 0 0 0 1 76 646 3661 27266

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 88 19 16 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 8 44 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 43 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 20 49 10 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 95 52 53 8
VCDI 0 0 0 7 205 893 8450 21946
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 55 4 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 18 4 13 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 10 30 32 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 32 46 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 103 36 43 8
VCDI 0 0 0 8 211 916 8463 21946


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