Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66198 16219 635 1032 410 44 0 0
OW 92 145 101 460 263 68 3 0
VODI 0 67 24 337 442 124 59 0
ODI 0 21 2 126 466 223 76 0
CDI 0 0 1 56 531 681 285 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 296 2021 8289 9303
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65945 16685 594 985 441 63 1 0
OW 55 207 138 413 284 80 18 0
VODI 0 49 66 322 424 150 86 0
ODI 0 12 17 181 377 235 98 0
CDI 0 0 1 85 392 599 302 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 304 2204 8194 9087
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65910 16601 801 1059 279 19 0 0
OW 53 91 87 598 273 38 0 0
VODI 0 19 28 441 449 90 7 0
ODI 0 0 3 133 480 177 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 464 502 170 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 358 2596 8749 8520
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66675 16249 622 1013 296 49 0 0
OW 53 167 126 446 249 48 4 0
VODI 0 45 73 365 421 104 17 0
ODI 0 3 12 184 381 210 48 0
CDI 0 0 3 149 453 337 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 104 514 2900 8706 7874
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66675 16269 617 1002 296 52 0 0
OW 53 147 128 427 235 51 2 0
VODI 0 45 76 388 399 101 19 0
ODI 0 3 11 189 394 199 50 0
CDI 0 0 4 138 449 335 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 117 541 2910 8707 7874

Date: 2023-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66476 16314 672 1153 328 25 0 0
OW 52 190 73 450 285 47 0 0
VODI 0 71 64 315 452 144 0 0
ODI 0 16 20 175 406 230 20 0
CDI 0 8 7 130 476 459 135 1
VCDI 0 4 8 82 432 3873 8817 6690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66476 16313 682 1160 344 26 0 0
OW 52 175 58 425 243 55 0 0
VODI 0 87 64 308 448 153 2 0
ODI 0 18 24 180 398 218 24 0
CDI 0 5 8 134 451 396 128 0
VCDI 0 5 8 98 495 3930 8818 6691

Date: 2023-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66587 15957 686 1324 302 16 0 0
OW 52 206 91 502 292 38 0 0
VODI 0 57 60 351 542 103 1 0
ODI 0 24 17 175 586 250 24 0
CDI 0 25 4 69 495 1014 342 0
VCDI 0 19 7 41 273 3926 8159 6483
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66587 15902 652 1438 462 53 0 0
OW 52 212 81 334 278 85 1 0
VODI 0 101 79 261 441 170 32 0
ODI 0 33 28 212 334 246 65 0
CDI 0 28 13 144 539 814 323 3
VCDI 0 12 12 73 436 3979 8105 6480

Date: 2023-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66556 16332 653 1327 338 32 0 0
OW 52 145 93 474 326 61 3 0
VODI 0 42 60 335 579 132 25 0
ODI 0 14 15 174 497 247 41 0
CDI 0 23 6 93 559 1217 373 0
VCDI 0 5 6 30 342 3860 7773 6260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66556 16157 613 1319 457 89 0 0
OW 52 230 86 360 288 78 23 0
VODI 0 100 64 302 447 204 46 0
ODI 0 37 40 214 368 285 82 0
CDI 0 25 20 170 627 957 434 0
VCDI 0 12 10 68 454 3936 7630 6260

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66960 16360 684 1198 326 35 4 0
OW 52 149 115 416 367 57 13 0
VODI 0 53 66 344 479 145 26 0
ODI 0 21 22 163 469 247 47 0
CDI 0 13 13 121 473 1167 597 0
VCDI 0 4 3 38 377 4278 6914 6284
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66960 16150 642 1217 462 81 14 0
OW 52 241 85 312 312 82 27 0
VODI 0 122 77 260 426 230 48 0
ODI 0 58 58 214 322 279 72 0
CDI 0 26 27 181 480 796 411 0
VCDI 0 3 14 96 489 4461 7029 6284


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