Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 14 20 72 28 5 0 0
OW 0 4 1 41 13 16 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 37 13 17 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 44 24 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 60 71 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 38 452 3042 28035
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 12 70 29 9 0 0
OW 0 1 0 34 21 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 29 25 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 57 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 47 79 17 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 417 4547 26580
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 9 57 32 11 0 0
OW 0 3 0 17 29 12 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 16 40 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 49 33 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 44 98 12 107
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 521 4068 26862
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 23 9 16 32 7 3 0
OW 0 4 2 19 20 19 10 0
VODI 0 0 0 20 25 18 13 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 31 13 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 37 83 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 16 455 5450 25680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 25 9 16 39 8 3 0
OW 0 2 2 19 18 19 10 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 21 17 14 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 40 18 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 44 34 89 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 453 5444 25678

Date: 2023-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 0 18 33 8 0 0
OW 0 8 10 7 29 10 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 17 49 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 24 35 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 61 42 43 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 576 5911 25065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 52 1 20 42 8 0 0
OW 0 9 5 5 24 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 21 50 21 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 41 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 49 58 40 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 558 5914 25063

Date: 2023-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 14 15 27 0 0 0
OW 0 1 3 19 22 8 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 29 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 49 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 29 137 63 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 581 6212 24744
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 12 8 40 7 0 0
OW 0 1 5 17 18 30 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 23 20 34 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 42 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 32 116 44 37
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 571 6231 24709

Date: 2023-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 7 18 18 8 0 0
OW 0 1 0 17 11 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 24 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 30 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 36 146 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 314 6520 24769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2 7 10 17 22 0 0
OW 0 2 0 16 11 36 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 11 23 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 23 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 44 116 26 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 308 6519 24766

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 9 16 17 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 18 16 7 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 18 33 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 33 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 39 63 3 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 224 3826 27666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 20 3 12 21 7 0 0
OW 0 2 7 8 18 27 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 17 25 37 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 20 29 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 34 66 12 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 183 3812 27646


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