Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 86 45 94 11 0 0 0
OW 0 20 3 36 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 4 14 40 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 10 35 43 0 0
CDI 0 1 8 10 18 91 6 37
VCDI 0 0 0 19 41 717 6757 23890
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 18 72 28 5 0 0
OW 0 2 0 36 11 16 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 36 21 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 41 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 50 70 0 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 507 3246 27810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 8 18 74 29 5 0 0
OW 0 2 0 33 11 15 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 36 22 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 40 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 51 73 0 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 502 3246 27804

Date: 2023-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 9 68 23 8 0 0
OW 0 0 3 32 19 14 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 22 41 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 49 21 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 35 86 11 94
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 325 4498 26687
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 8 57 26 15 0 0
OW 0 0 3 24 22 19 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 28 29 20 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 33 24 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 51 65 23 47
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 329 4478 26734

Date: 2023-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 21 10 24 44 13 0 0
OW 0 3 0 17 27 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 22 30 21 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 47 25 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 49 74 27 46
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 464 2411 28642
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 19 5 15 43 17 0 0
OW 0 4 5 12 33 24 1 0
VODI 0 1 0 16 27 23 7 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 39 14 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 50 79 23 62
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 456 2400 28626

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 9 14 33 9 0 0
OW 0 5 7 9 20 23 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 21 23 31 4 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 34 25 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 50 75 32 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 649 6083 24841
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 0 13 34 13 0 0
OW 0 11 1 2 22 30 0 0
VODI 0 5 11 3 22 24 12 0
ODI 0 2 4 11 25 23 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 47 54 23 3
VCDI 0 0 0 4 39 668 6082 24840


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