Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-03-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2023-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69072 15083 138 512 130 26 0 0
OW 53 577 78 483 115 3 0 0
VODI 0 301 42 448 388 16 0 0
ODI 0 164 16 258 510 69 2 0
CDI 0 85 24 226 754 606 117 28
VCDI 0 216 25 296 1643 8259 22570 63715
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69072 15039 150 551 130 28 0 0
OW 53 584 61 446 110 2 0 0
VODI 0 341 45 413 402 17 0 0
ODI 0 156 18 264 482 75 1 0
CDI 0 91 23 238 741 612 114 31
VCDI 0 215 26 311 1675 8245 22574 63712

Date: 2023-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68949 15459 122 523 149 20 0 0
OW 60 654 73 386 115 7 0 0
VODI 2 385 49 451 341 24 0 0
ODI 0 197 16 282 437 73 0 0
CDI 0 184 13 243 603 462 36 28
VCDI 0 241 28 323 1772 6263 18218 69860
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68948 15392 122 538 150 22 0 0
OW 60 709 68 360 109 3 0 0
VODI 3 397 52 440 337 21 0 0
ODI 0 211 18 289 410 80 0 0
CDI 0 170 12 234 600 466 36 36
VCDI 0 241 29 347 1811 6257 18218 69852

Date: 2023-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68242 16110 148 546 179 36 0 0
OW 52 622 84 460 118 24 0 0
VODI 0 395 46 577 352 25 0 0
ODI 0 188 9 198 548 113 0 0
CDI 0 92 7 110 691 783 180 28
VCDI 0 196 26 222 1162 5574 17687 71218
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68242 15748 154 594 215 45 0 0
OW 52 717 54 327 138 15 0 0
VODI 0 537 53 440 306 55 0 0
ODI 0 265 22 290 390 116 0 0
CDI 0 129 14 176 567 564 93 40
VCDI 0 207 23 286 1434 5760 17774 71206

Date: 2023-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68299 15765 152 671 258 21 0 0
OW 52 559 65 417 229 21 0 0
VODI 0 273 40 395 465 35 0 0
ODI 0 146 13 210 559 105 4 0
CDI 0 93 7 114 728 756 258 77
VCDI 0 202 21 251 1403 5633 19902 68849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68298 15397 146 629 304 24 0 0
OW 53 698 45 326 186 23 0 0
VODI 0 552 55 390 427 74 0 0
ODI 0 187 22 316 498 148 7 0
CDI 0 107 9 148 709 708 209 31
VCDI 0 97 21 249 1518 5594 19948 68895

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67325 16396 170 776 356 57 0 0
OW 53 476 68 415 263 53 0 0
VODI 0 168 36 349 508 112 0 0
ODI 0 95 8 148 578 224 4 16
CDI 0 55 8 95 525 991 270 189
VCDI 0 44 6 116 626 4701 21428 69340
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67323 15991 154 716 367 76 0 0
OW 55 598 71 322 216 69 1 0
VODI 0 438 41 470 480 149 16 0
ODI 0 128 19 200 536 250 106 27
CDI 0 67 6 99 625 951 594 177
VCDI 0 12 5 92 632 4643 20985 69341


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