Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71608 13427 128 494 166 4 0 0
OW 51 543 44 355 134 4 0 0
VODI 0 311 47 420 333 9 0 0
ODI 0 141 25 273 456 57 0 0
CDI 0 79 22 178 634 380 36 0
VCDI 0 302 35 548 1731 3927 6165 6033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71186 13404 117 503 197 5 0 0
OW 73 510 51 366 170 11 0 0
VODI 0 274 39 431 381 24 0 0
ODI 0 120 25 236 512 47 0 0
CDI 0 34 17 167 705 356 18 0
VCDI 0 145 29 286 1564 4409 7212 5476
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70651 13966 149 461 111 23 0 0
OW 60 412 67 411 163 7 0 0
VODI 0 169 35 444 478 12 0 0
ODI 0 27 15 281 625 63 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 98 803 531 21 0
VCDI 0 2 2 85 1082 4811 7216 5809
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70636 13899 130 372 108 21 0 0
OW 52 484 67 408 117 9 0 0
VODI 0 239 46 524 288 12 0 0
ODI 0 104 23 311 498 22 0 0
CDI 0 25 16 191 707 308 59 0
VCDI 0 9 4 120 1351 4547 7845 5548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70636 13896 134 424 114 21 0 0
OW 52 512 63 399 128 9 0 0
VODI 0 219 45 506 301 13 0 0
ODI 0 109 25 283 488 24 0 0
CDI 0 15 16 199 724 305 32 0
VCDI 0 9 3 115 1314 4547 7872 5548

Date: 2023-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70595 13748 124 455 208 10 0 0
OW 52 512 58 335 171 15 0 0
VODI 0 282 48 418 321 42 0 0
ODI 0 101 31 248 446 68 0 0
CDI 0 50 11 250 634 365 3 0
VCDI 0 48 5 192 1926 5081 7949 4298
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70595 13783 123 433 237 10 0 0
OW 52 494 61 359 145 24 0 0
VODI 0 277 47 413 284 54 0 0
ODI 0 95 32 273 442 60 0 0
CDI 0 49 9 219 695 355 19 0
VCDI 0 43 5 201 1903 5078 7933 4298

Date: 2023-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70807 13290 125 520 148 16 0 0
OW 52 551 74 425 173 9 0 0
VODI 0 285 39 456 432 19 0 0
ODI 0 95 19 313 661 62 0 0
CDI 0 46 2 110 930 681 21 0
VCDI 0 156 18 287 1499 5792 8133 2854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70777 13146 107 484 216 15 0 0
OW 82 553 65 310 211 20 0 0
VODI 0 359 52 397 326 39 0 0
ODI 0 126 28 325 415 83 0 0
CDI 0 62 6 251 766 822 89 0
VCDI 0 177 19 344 1909 5600 8065 2854

Date: 2023-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70113 13746 137 619 204 26 6 0
OW 74 396 91 449 201 16 4 0
VODI 0 121 35 460 479 48 4 0
ODI 0 48 4 179 644 100 1 0
CDI 0 47 3 101 1337 622 47 0
VCDI 0 115 16 221 1341 4717 6933 5395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70072 13634 136 530 253 49 6 0
OW 93 384 76 421 229 26 6 0
VODI 22 184 40 441 426 95 3 0
ODI 0 74 11 258 536 137 6 0
CDI 0 53 7 137 1213 658 26 0
VCDI 0 144 16 242 1549 4564 6948 5395

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70275 13830 102 451 115 18 5 0
OW 86 424 86 415 171 4 2 0
VODI 0 207 37 491 395 31 1 0
ODI 0 50 18 341 532 108 0 0
CDI 0 31 2 205 866 1011 20 0
VCDI 0 116 18 171 1589 5211 7481 4184
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70232 13490 101 472 165 22 5 0
OW 91 552 62 292 225 9 3 0
VODI 38 318 45 434 343 70 0 0
ODI 0 125 27 310 420 157 0 0
CDI 0 46 11 358 778 958 36 0
VCDI 0 127 17 208 1737 5167 7465 4184


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