Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71837 13984 132 448 161 8 0 0
OW 60 420 50 255 271 14 0 0
VODI 0 249 32 310 371 42 0 0
ODI 0 111 24 176 366 90 0 0
CDI 0 78 11 152 468 333 14 0
VCDI 0 45 7 182 964 3627 6744 7064
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72192 13659 119 473 195 21 0 0
OW 60 532 55 304 155 20 0 0
VODI 0 292 35 359 316 74 2 0
ODI 0 153 24 215 327 139 7 0
CDI 0 79 18 151 427 356 60 0
VCDI 0 35 6 144 769 4316 7685 5326
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72179 13771 125 531 171 0 0 0
OW 76 486 66 376 155 1 0 0
VODI 0 245 37 403 387 7 0 0
ODI 0 98 21 205 526 40 0 0
CDI 0 46 14 160 588 495 24 0
VCDI 0 56 16 275 1209 5137 6045 5129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73192 12391 104 513 115 0 0 0
OW 69 600 45 313 159 0 0 0
VODI 2 391 41 331 365 6 0 0
ODI 0 168 18 229 432 83 0 0
CDI 0 120 16 181 675 448 81 0
VCDI 0 374 43 438 1584 5434 6535 3604
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73192 12451 105 522 118 0 0 0
OW 69 569 44 309 158 0 0 0
VODI 2 366 44 332 353 9 0 0
ODI 0 156 14 232 438 72 0 0
CDI 0 120 17 178 668 428 75 0
VCDI 0 382 43 432 1595 5462 6541 3604

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73174 12377 115 474 111 2 0 0
OW 66 560 34 303 188 4 0 0
VODI 2 428 47 284 339 24 0 0
ODI 0 175 19 210 374 60 0 0
CDI 0 158 18 143 554 323 33 0
VCDI 0 604 48 501 1462 4214 6087 5585
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73161 12418 112 483 121 1 0 0
OW 79 538 40 293 174 5 0 0
VODI 2 406 49 302 329 25 0 0
ODI 0 178 17 210 378 68 0 0
CDI 0 161 14 128 530 298 52 0
VCDI 0 601 49 499 1496 4230 6068 5585

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71399 14072 113 485 119 0 0 0
OW 51 598 62 365 146 4 0 0
VODI 0 248 55 444 393 10 0 0
ODI 0 113 18 298 657 42 0 0
CDI 0 52 16 178 702 388 55 0
VCDI 0 315 33 361 1062 3996 6122 6128
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71387 13763 130 554 161 1 0 0
OW 63 467 39 316 178 6 0 0
VODI 0 369 28 312 340 24 0 0
ODI 0 193 19 156 428 71 0 0
CDI 0 154 16 134 508 231 55 0
VCDI 0 452 65 659 1464 4107 6122 6128

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71292 13995 123 499 150 0 0 0
OW 52 608 53 358 169 0 0 0
VODI 0 290 56 399 382 12 0 0
ODI 0 125 23 227 454 59 0 0
CDI 0 76 12 182 628 500 52 0
VCDI 0 199 31 415 1328 4138 6144 6069
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71292 13651 128 532 198 0 0 0
OW 52 525 33 275 194 3 0 0
VODI 0 383 38 273 333 22 0 0
ODI 0 193 29 185 337 91 0 0
CDI 0 169 13 160 437 493 39 0
VCDI 0 372 57 655 1612 4100 6157 6069

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71608 13427 128 494 166 4 0 0
OW 51 543 44 355 134 4 0 0
VODI 0 311 47 420 333 9 0 0
ODI 0 141 25 273 456 57 0 0
CDI 0 79 22 178 634 380 36 0
VCDI 0 302 35 548 1731 3927 6165 6033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71607 13133 132 561 214 4 0 0
OW 52 519 37 312 173 3 0 0
VODI 0 373 29 310 335 30 0 0
ODI 0 236 19 202 364 84 1 0
CDI 0 152 29 194 550 477 50 0
VCDI 0 390 55 689 1818 3783 6150 6033


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