Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 307 9 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 4 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 1 19 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 17 64 16 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 6 68 102 27 9
VCDI 0 72 11 121 220 678 6099 24019
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 279 10 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 2 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 2 22 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 1 15 29 14 0 0
CDI 0 23 3 11 32 100 36 5
VCDI 0 18 4 85 197 472 5057 25521
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81 301 3 8 0 0 0 0
OW 1 46 2 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 0 13 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 4 4 22 13 0 0
CDI 0 32 2 16 46 22 0 17
VCDI 0 102 11 121 277 842 5062 24934
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 233 0 1 0 0 0 0
OW 3 67 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 4 5 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 56 2 32 33 0 0 0
CDI 0 69 0 17 71 66 1 0
VCDI 0 312 18 204 443 2208 6878 21091
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 232 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 3 69 1 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 6 6 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 55 0 31 34 0 0 0
CDI 0 67 0 18 71 81 1 0
VCDI 0 319 18 203 438 2193 6878 21091

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 201 190 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 9 52 2 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 5 73 0 22 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 72 6 47 18 1 0 0
CDI 0 84 2 49 68 64 11 0
VCDI 0 459 24 230 476 2875 6107 20914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 203 184 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 7 56 2 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 5 78 2 44 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 61 5 41 24 9 0 0
CDI 0 78 1 41 52 65 10 0
VCDI 0 473 24 223 483 2866 6108 20914

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 389 5 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 5 9 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 1 51 29 2 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 66 47 7 0 0
CDI 0 89 4 38 85 37 35 7
VCDI 0 94 15 188 456 1855 8631 19766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 330 4 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 2 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 4 36 33 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 1 72 75 27 0 0
CDI 0 43 1 30 51 56 48 0
VCDI 0 205 18 211 459 1818 8618 19773

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 320 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 7 40 5 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 3 22 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 1 8 77 18 0 0
CDI 0 52 3 12 57 54 4 68
VCDI 0 107 16 83 317 759 6831 23062
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 269 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 7 62 3 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 4 14 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 18 95 59 5 0
CDI 0 45 1 8 63 75 36 57
VCDI 0 145 18 91 314 697 6794 23073

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111 289 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 2 56 4 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 3 69 34 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 1 66 81 1 0 0
CDI 0 56 1 49 86 46 14 16
VCDI 0 237 24 195 429 1151 5132 23831
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97 231 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 15 63 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 53 5 9 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 40 1 70 37 0 0 0
CDI 0 44 0 89 98 4 8 0
VCDI 0 298 26 215 488 1194 5138 23847


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