Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71837 14291 141 468 161 8 0 0
OW 60 467 54 264 271 14 0 0
VODI 0 287 33 329 399 42 0 0
ODI 0 138 25 193 430 108 0 0
CDI 0 119 13 158 551 488 83 9
VCDI 0 117 18 303 1284 5258 22933 65694
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72192 13938 129 503 195 21 0 0
OW 60 579 57 310 155 20 0 0
VODI 0 330 37 381 316 74 2 0
ODI 0 176 25 230 356 153 7 0
CDI 0 102 21 162 472 464 108 5
VCDI 0 53 10 229 1057 5904 21021 67194
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72260 14072 128 539 171 0 0 0
OW 77 532 68 387 155 1 0 0
VODI 0 289 37 416 394 7 0 0
ODI 0 136 25 209 548 53 0 0
CDI 0 78 16 176 634 522 28 44
VCDI 0 158 27 396 1486 7230 18489 67260
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73374 12624 104 514 115 0 0 0
OW 72 667 46 315 159 0 0 0
VODI 2 469 45 336 370 6 0 0
ODI 0 224 20 261 465 83 0 0
CDI 0 189 16 198 746 514 82 0
VCDI 0 686 61 642 2027 8656 19844 63116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73374 12683 105 522 118 0 0 0
OW 72 638 45 312 158 0 0 0
VODI 2 439 50 338 362 9 0 0
ODI 0 211 14 263 472 72 0 0
CDI 0 187 17 196 739 509 76 0
VCDI 0 701 61 635 2033 8669 19850 63116

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73375 12567 115 474 111 2 0 0
OW 75 612 36 305 188 4 0 0
VODI 7 501 47 306 358 24 0 0
ODI 0 247 25 257 392 61 0 0
CDI 0 242 20 192 623 393 44 0
VCDI 0 1063 72 731 1971 8081 21414 62113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73364 12602 112 483 121 1 0 0
OW 86 594 42 294 174 5 0 0
VODI 7 484 51 346 351 25 0 0
ODI 0 239 22 251 402 77 0 0
CDI 0 239 15 169 585 369 62 0
VCDI 0 1074 73 722 2010 8088 21396 62113

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71399 14461 118 501 119 0 0 0
OW 51 641 67 374 147 4 0 0
VODI 0 311 56 495 422 12 0 0
ODI 0 161 18 364 704 49 0 0
CDI 0 141 20 216 788 428 92 15
VCDI 0 409 48 549 1523 6604 21243 64498
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71387 14093 134 570 161 1 0 0
OW 63 531 41 319 178 6 0 0
VODI 0 417 32 348 373 24 0 0
ODI 0 229 20 228 503 98 0 0
CDI 0 197 17 164 559 290 110 0
VCDI 0 657 83 870 1929 6678 21225 64513

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71339 14315 123 499 150 0 0 0
OW 59 648 58 366 169 0 0 0
VODI 0 331 59 421 404 12 0 0
ODI 0 163 24 235 531 77 0 0
CDI 0 128 15 194 685 574 78 68
VCDI 0 306 47 498 1645 5395 19941 67491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71339 13920 128 532 198 0 0 0
OW 59 587 36 277 194 3 0 0
VODI 0 434 42 287 334 22 0 0
ODI 0 219 31 203 432 150 5 0
CDI 0 214 14 168 500 573 87 58
VCDI 0 517 75 746 1926 5310 19927 67501

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71719 13716 129 495 166 4 0 0
OW 53 599 48 360 134 4 0 0
VODI 0 356 50 489 367 9 0 0
ODI 0 187 26 339 537 58 0 0
CDI 0 135 23 227 721 430 74 16
VCDI 0 539 59 743 2172 5718 18413 67933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71704 13364 133 561 214 4 0 0
OW 67 582 38 314 173 3 0 0
VODI 1 426 34 319 342 30 0 0
ODI 0 276 20 272 401 84 1 0
CDI 0 196 29 283 648 486 114 28
VCDI 0 688 81 904 2319 5616 18372 67921


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