Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74392 12315 120 469 134 3 0 0
OW 74 339 48 313 216 19 0 0
VODI 0 225 35 361 334 80 0 0
ODI 0 93 22 265 530 134 1 0
CDI 0 56 7 154 681 277 58 0
VCDI 0 16 2 200 1213 3982 7261 4671
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74415 12248 108 375 98 5 0 0
OW 74 390 42 370 134 15 0 0
VODI 0 238 38 385 284 43 0 0
ODI 0 88 19 319 463 77 0 0
CDI 0 71 8 265 636 189 3 0
VCDI 0 119 13 278 1421 4159 7355 4355
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72966 13422 117 439 105 0 0 0
OW 74 429 50 266 188 1 0 0
VODI 0 230 41 377 346 24 0 0
ODI 0 121 10 289 448 80 0 0
CDI 0 78 12 168 591 378 3 0
VCDI 0 30 3 137 1156 3702 6889 5930
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72287 13686 131 426 119 1 0 0
OW 60 395 61 341 177 7 0 0
VODI 0 178 30 386 356 38 0 0
ODI 0 93 14 199 395 65 0 0
CDI 0 82 9 113 618 260 1 0
VCDI 0 47 6 157 1084 4188 6781 6309
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72287 13701 136 484 135 3 0 0
OW 60 383 48 282 167 8 0 0
VODI 0 178 36 365 334 34 0 0
ODI 0 103 17 227 382 69 0 0
CDI 0 70 9 114 593 263 2 0
VCDI 0 46 5 150 1138 4182 6780 6309

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72170 13672 133 527 176 29 0 0
OW 60 513 38 316 171 12 0 0
VODI 0 295 44 300 324 54 0 0
ODI 0 138 29 170 408 75 0 0
CDI 0 79 15 171 471 287 31 0
VCDI 0 43 4 161 735 3525 7066 6858
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72170 13676 133 539 173 32 0 0
OW 60 496 41 304 164 16 0 0
VODI 0 297 40 288 303 44 0 0
ODI 0 143 27 185 391 75 0 0
CDI 0 83 18 174 486 299 37 0
VCDI 0 45 4 155 768 3516 7060 6858

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71971 14146 131 556 132 24 0 0
OW 76 467 69 383 117 5 0 0
VODI 0 206 41 380 455 21 0 0
ODI 0 55 24 179 570 46 0 0
CDI 0 11 7 151 613 360 22 0
VCDI 0 1 1 58 699 5192 7774 4157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71981 13702 130 584 170 28 0 0
OW 66 536 52 273 193 6 0 0
VODI 0 344 35 317 364 43 0 0
ODI 0 147 21 178 419 161 0 0
CDI 0 93 21 158 460 445 43 0
VCDI 0 64 14 197 980 4965 7753 4157

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73010 12656 117 575 149 0 0 0
OW 62 546 51 349 177 1 0 0
VODI 0 303 36 362 394 14 0 0
ODI 0 122 20 216 498 59 0 0
CDI 0 78 10 148 897 343 60 0
VCDI 0 154 24 317 1558 4364 6329 5101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72963 12286 121 562 216 0 0 0
OW 109 536 32 292 218 7 0 0
VODI 0 385 35 296 388 44 0 0
ODI 0 208 15 210 346 149 1 0
CDI 0 150 18 143 657 314 37 0
VCDI 0 294 37 464 1848 4267 6351 5101

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73126 12467 102 450 71 0 0 0
OW 62 610 50 325 148 3 0 0
VODI 2 411 39 329 330 12 0 0
ODI 0 159 12 229 449 41 0 0
CDI 0 130 20 145 638 403 16 0
VCDI 0 514 42 479 1571 4749 6111 4855
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73062 12208 116 570 137 0 0 0
OW 126 533 34 259 214 11 0 0
VODI 2 385 29 240 370 45 0 0
ODI 0 219 18 132 364 116 0 0
CDI 0 162 12 117 394 308 10 0
VCDI 0 784 56 639 1728 4728 6117 4855


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