Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 337 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 5 15 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 4 139 52 1 0 0
ODI 0 107 2 67 55 46 0 0
CDI 0 66 3 44 75 170 68 22
VCDI 0 152 16 137 615 2353 7142 20164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 273 1 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 4 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 1 18 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 68 1 8 120 62 0 0
CDI 0 99 2 10 58 134 23 13
VCDI 0 144 20 136 300 1755 6965 21661
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78 284 6 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 2 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 0 13 22 1 0 0
ODI 0 110 0 3 69 48 0 0
CDI 0 88 9 25 46 199 46 8
VCDI 0 84 13 110 211 799 6925 22769
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 274 5 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 2 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 0 13 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 36 1 4 75 17 0 0
CDI 0 53 2 4 100 102 50 5
VCDI 0 122 16 114 245 822 6582 23246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 277 7 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 0 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 0 12 35 1 0 0
ODI 0 33 1 2 63 13 0 0
CDI 0 48 2 5 104 93 49 5
VCDI 0 128 16 113 248 834 6583 23246

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 294 10 25 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 1 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 6 17 10 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 0 22 66 7 0 0
CDI 0 21 5 13 75 92 7 4
VCDI 0 16 4 121 236 597 4873 25446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 291 9 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 56 4 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 4 17 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 0 19 73 20 0 0
CDI 0 18 5 11 57 93 9 4
VCDI 0 19 4 123 239 583 4871 25446

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 337 11 37 1 0 0 0
OW 0 29 1 14 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 5 16 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 15 1 17 27 18 0 0
CDI 0 14 6 25 11 46 7 6
VCDI 0 0 1 65 172 371 4107 26690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 267 7 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 41 5 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 1 18 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 10 13 6 0 0
CDI 0 26 2 9 25 50 87 15
VCDI 0 20 9 96 178 379 4027 26681

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106 291 2 6 0 0 0 0
OW 1 55 4 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 2 19 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 26 37 4 0 0
CDI 0 55 0 12 69 41 15 0
VCDI 0 197 19 194 452 1590 6316 22456
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103 234 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 4 52 0 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 4 9 2 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 2 16 33 8 0 0
CDI 0 56 1 29 65 112 25 0
VCDI 0 262 19 205 461 1515 6306 22456

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 185 232 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 69 0 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 1 15 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 88 5 39 25 1 0 0
CDI 0 74 3 35 77 67 7 0
VCDI 0 423 26 236 629 2813 6346 20582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 182 153 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 4 48 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 1 2 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 66 0 3 5 0 9 0
CDI 0 85 4 32 35 46 35 2
VCDI 0 556 31 290 705 2835 6309 20580


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