Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74974 12428 89 213 101 10 0 0
OW 74 773 47 236 71 17 0 0
VODI 0 515 55 411 211 23 0 0
ODI 0 205 25 301 274 59 0 0
CDI 0 109 10 296 332 139 3 0
VCDI 0 192 14 382 1360 2942 7022 5187
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76103 10874 69 312 61 0 0 0
OW 74 812 45 311 159 4 0 0
VODI 0 619 44 388 397 25 0 0
ODI 0 222 27 339 283 78 0 0
CDI 0 155 21 267 360 161 3 0
VCDI 0 207 15 307 1278 3100 6321 5659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75399 12046 112 360 64 0 0 0
OW 73 416 35 374 124 0 0 0
VODI 0 271 34 496 495 22 0 0
ODI 0 131 18 245 567 68 0 0
CDI 0 106 18 243 584 418 49 0
VCDI 0 18 3 240 986 4597 6983 3505
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74764 12140 119 480 82 0 0 0
OW 73 360 39 320 189 1 0 0
VODI 0 274 33 363 478 17 0 0
ODI 0 116 21 265 610 51 0 0
CDI 0 53 11 213 653 297 2 0
VCDI 0 6 2 177 1245 3954 7185 4507
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74763 12156 116 505 95 0 0 0
OW 74 325 41 295 167 2 0 0
VODI 0 280 29 328 462 21 0 0
ODI 0 125 26 270 610 57 0 0
CDI 0 56 12 234 627 299 4 0
VCDI 0 7 1 186 1296 3941 7183 4507

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74448 12110 130 534 131 3 0 0
OW 74 327 36 310 244 14 0 0
VODI 0 216 36 315 380 49 0 0
ODI 0 93 12 242 536 108 0 0
CDI 0 72 8 141 642 275 8 0
VCDI 0 101 17 262 1147 4674 7145 4260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74448 12121 135 535 109 4 0 0
OW 74 299 23 325 241 13 0 0
VODI 0 230 37 258 371 49 0 0
ODI 0 106 20 262 508 96 0 0
CDI 0 66 8 180 626 269 8 0
VCDI 0 97 16 244 1225 4692 7145 4260

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73958 12697 102 372 77 0 0 0
OW 74 442 52 359 129 3 0 0
VODI 0 220 40 486 332 12 0 0
ODI 0 133 11 326 647 48 0 0
CDI 0 44 9 168 766 355 2 0
VCDI 0 1 2 96 990 4035 7595 4517
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73956 12501 104 404 130 6 0 0
OW 76 413 32 256 143 10 0 0
VODI 0 256 37 329 286 51 0 0
ODI 0 126 17 247 395 74 0 0
CDI 0 104 8 215 548 273 8 0
VCDI 0 137 18 356 1439 4039 7589 4517

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72942 13225 124 430 89 1 0 0
OW 76 366 61 341 184 5 0 0
VODI 0 197 33 396 362 22 0 0
ODI 0 101 9 257 400 71 0 0
CDI 0 90 13 138 557 311 2 0
VCDI 0 53 9 153 1182 3630 6887 6383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72944 12980 130 497 176 1 0 0
OW 74 434 32 251 200 13 0 0
VODI 0 254 37 266 295 60 0 0
ODI 0 120 19 246 320 124 0 0
CDI 0 93 9 201 403 325 14 0
VCDI 0 151 22 254 1380 3517 6875 6383

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71837 13984 132 448 161 8 0 0
OW 60 420 50 255 271 14 0 0
VODI 0 249 32 310 371 42 0 0
ODI 0 111 24 176 366 90 0 0
CDI 0 78 11 152 468 333 14 0
VCDI 0 45 7 182 964 3627 6744 7064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71817 13824 139 514 340 39 0 0
OW 80 439 36 197 214 50 0 0
VODI 0 295 26 186 380 64 0 0
ODI 0 163 28 199 313 116 0 0
CDI 0 73 18 176 362 359 0 0
VCDI 0 93 9 251 992 3486 6758 7064


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