Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104 149 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 5 53 4 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 0 1 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 0 6 53 2 0 0
CDI 0 78 1 21 62 97 3 2
VCDI 0 252 20 132 459 1685 6570 22116
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 139 155 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 5 60 6 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 0 55 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 1 20 41 7 0 0
CDI 0 82 2 53 77 61 10 1
VCDI 0 306 18 139 601 1910 6449 21694
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 120 311 4 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 111 5 24 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 5 112 51 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 0 54 61 7 0 0
CDI 0 56 0 42 134 62 11 2
VCDI 0 261 22 181 765 2335 5598 21584
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 326 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 88 8 52 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 161 5 126 55 9 0 0
ODI 0 80 1 61 42 55 0 0
CDI 0 64 3 55 88 127 59 7
VCDI 0 258 27 191 663 2558 6459 20370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 327 2 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 9 40 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 125 4 140 45 8 0 0
ODI 0 104 1 62 48 52 0 0
CDI 0 95 3 53 78 124 60 12
VCDI 0 255 27 188 676 2565 6458 20365

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 309 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 7 14 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 3 25 92 3 0 0
ODI 0 98 1 17 106 40 0 0
CDI 0 81 4 15 105 126 34 6
VCDI 0 135 19 135 368 2226 7888 20033
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 307 3 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 62 5 14 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 2 23 100 3 0 0
ODI 0 63 1 13 107 39 0 0
CDI 0 91 2 14 95 139 36 7
VCDI 0 184 21 141 369 2214 7886 20032

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80 310 9 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 0 16 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 0 14 27 4 0 0
ODI 0 84 9 11 69 60 0 0
CDI 0 75 8 76 112 213 23 0
VCDI 0 61 6 50 154 1010 6908 22520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80 205 9 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 0 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 0 11 23 6 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 4 55 133 1 0
CDI 0 57 0 2 24 116 28 12
VCDI 0 267 23 134 261 1032 6902 22508

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78 270 3 13 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 1 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 0 10 20 2 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 0 67 28 0 0
CDI 0 99 2 2 46 224 55 6
VCDI 0 112 19 136 226 773 8103 21650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78 190 3 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 1 12 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 0 6 19 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 0 3 65 101 0 0
CDI 0 52 1 0 22 121 39 7
VCDI 0 213 20 138 252 805 8119 21649

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 307 9 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 4 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 1 19 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 27 1 17 64 16 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 6 68 102 27 9
VCDI 0 72 11 121 220 678 6099 24019
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 250 9 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 2 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 2 14 36 2 0 0
ODI 0 35 2 23 80 24 2 0
CDI 0 46 2 7 50 96 40 0
VCDI 0 84 11 118 214 674 6084 24028


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