Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76183 11585 103 275 164 64 0 0
OW 75 839 44 266 106 33 4 0
VODI 0 659 42 341 208 33 7 0
ODI 0 227 27 302 278 50 8 0
CDI 0 100 16 246 410 162 17 0
VCDI 0 106 15 277 1291 2776 7504 4257
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74859 12202 109 329 148 41 0 0
OW 74 900 49 281 118 42 0 0
VODI 0 672 36 333 217 56 4 0
ODI 0 405 25 257 222 76 11 0
CDI 0 154 18 266 410 168 88 0
VCDI 0 125 15 413 1549 3607 6829 3992
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74293 12946 94 282 120 13 0 0
OW 74 734 72 315 82 8 0 0
VODI 0 486 43 472 303 20 0 0
ODI 0 171 10 347 347 63 0 0
CDI 0 121 15 255 445 198 7 0
VCDI 0 71 10 289 1373 3407 6899 4715
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74721 12732 78 187 86 11 0 0
OW 74 779 47 254 63 10 0 0
VODI 0 494 65 430 227 9 0 0
ODI 0 169 28 365 276 54 0 0
CDI 0 99 9 316 328 120 0 0
VCDI 0 150 13 273 1576 2926 6572 5559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74721 12765 81 205 90 11 0 0
OW 74 681 46 219 61 11 0 0
VODI 0 524 60 388 213 16 0 0
ODI 0 210 29 380 277 48 0 0
CDI 0 99 12 328 336 122 0 0
VCDI 0 144 12 305 1579 2922 6572 5559

Date: 2023-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76177 11035 78 266 110 11 0 0
OW 75 807 59 247 129 21 0 0
VODI 0 522 45 382 328 51 0 0
ODI 0 216 24 326 270 97 0 0
CDI 0 120 8 251 304 188 6 1
VCDI 0 226 17 326 1152 2632 7000 5593
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76176 11053 82 274 130 6 0 0
OW 76 739 49 227 129 35 0 0
VODI 0 525 47 342 280 43 0 0
ODI 0 243 26 336 267 100 0 0
CDI 0 141 11 280 301 187 7 1
VCDI 0 225 16 339 1186 2629 6999 5593

Date: 2023-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75972 11523 74 284 63 0 0 0
OW 73 641 52 267 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 380 51 672 417 19 0 0
ODI 0 136 29 292 575 55 0 0
CDI 0 107 17 262 497 304 10 0
VCDI 0 41 3 239 1027 4410 6868 3649
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75971 10648 72 337 124 0 0 0
OW 74 746 26 179 167 14 0 0
VODI 0 652 45 416 339 85 0 0
ODI 0 337 26 299 327 99 0 0
CDI 0 239 22 256 327 229 22 0
VCDI 0 206 35 529 1386 4361 6856 3649

Date: 2023-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74969 12215 105 418 86 1 0 0
OW 73 400 44 334 149 8 0 0
VODI 0 293 35 501 385 37 0 0
ODI 0 138 21 279 473 85 0 0
CDI 0 102 23 254 593 293 96 0
VCDI 0 23 4 299 1230 4171 6992 3971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74968 11199 74 305 141 4 0 0
OW 74 717 22 124 141 49 0 0
VODI 0 576 55 394 225 94 2 0
ODI 0 290 33 413 422 97 15 0
CDI 0 235 22 283 438 197 115 0
VCDI 0 154 26 566 1549 4154 6956 3971

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74392 12315 120 469 134 3 0 0
OW 74 339 48 313 216 19 0 0
VODI 0 225 35 361 334 80 0 0
ODI 0 93 22 265 530 134 1 0
CDI 0 56 7 154 681 277 58 0
VCDI 0 16 2 200 1213 3982 7261 4671
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74406 11380 81 338 156 21 0 0
OW 60 589 31 162 97 73 0 0
VODI 0 423 44 306 149 97 9 0
ODI 0 294 27 263 297 83 26 0
CDI 0 192 25 226 713 168 79 0
VCDI 0 166 26 467 1696 4053 7206 4671


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