Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 200 2 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 0 11 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 1 8 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 3 8 14 11 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 23 16 63 17 0
VCDI 0 105 12 152 270 889 5512 24531
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 177 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 0 13 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 1 9 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 0 2 30 2 0 0
CDI 0 61 0 6 33 50 5 4
VCDI 0 186 15 133 270 882 5831 24171
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 47 206 1 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 2 16 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 0 8 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 0 0 42 2 0 0
CDI 0 71 0 3 41 62 4 5
VCDI 0 254 24 128 348 1373 5219 24020
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94 162 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 5 52 3 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 0 10 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 54 0 0 42 2 0 0
CDI 0 71 1 8 38 64 1 11
VCDI 0 260 20 117 411 1827 5810 22891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94 180 2 2 0 0 0 0
OW 5 54 3 17 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 0 13 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 0 2 47 1 0 0
CDI 0 63 1 10 44 50 1 11
VCDI 0 245 20 115 419 1842 5810 22891

Date: 2023-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140 134 5 7 0 0 0 0
OW 13 52 0 23 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 77 0 22 52 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 0 27 49 4 0 0
CDI 0 87 1 46 82 61 5 0
VCDI 0 303 21 176 634 2267 6107 21629
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 140 147 3 6 0 0 0 0
OW 13 61 2 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 76 0 31 31 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 0 31 58 4 0 0
CDI 0 92 2 44 93 58 8 0
VCDI 0 267 20 174 635 2270 6104 21629

Date: 2023-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 145 279 5 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 2 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 3 90 39 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 1 45 80 1 0 0
CDI 0 57 1 28 112 68 5 2
VCDI 0 226 17 155 361 2085 5966 22083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 144 190 1 4 0 0 0 0
OW 1 80 6 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 1 38 20 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 1 47 48 23 0 0
CDI 0 82 1 53 83 79 21 9
VCDI 0 285 19 190 441 2052 5950 22076

Date: 2023-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 44 386 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 101 9 41 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 145 2 127 54 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 3 67 64 20 0 0
CDI 0 64 0 58 115 75 7 36
VCDI 0 254 26 196 759 2823 6050 20486
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 44 337 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 4 5 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 6 62 55 7 0 0
ODI 0 80 1 99 53 46 0 0
CDI 0 103 3 103 88 92 29 45
VCDI 0 310 26 220 800 2773 6028 20477

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 337 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 5 15 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 4 139 52 1 0 0
ODI 0 107 2 67 55 46 0 0
CDI 0 66 3 44 75 170 68 22
VCDI 0 152 16 137 615 2353 7142 20164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 234 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 1 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 7 39 15 17 0 0
ODI 0 59 1 77 60 69 22 0
CDI 0 111 1 103 63 122 114 27
VCDI 0 285 20 180 661 2362 7074 20159


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