| Best estimate | Forecast | 
 |  | 
| Arctic Deep Basin: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 74 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 38 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 33 | 4 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 14 | 7 | 104 | 512 | 1027 | 4209 | 30501 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 81 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 55 | 15 | 197 | 519 | 1027 | 4209 | 30501 |  | 
 | Queen Elisabeth Islands: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 416 | 2665 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 416 | 2665 |  | 
 | Beaufort Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 2229 | 7577 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 2229 | 7574 |  | 
 | Chuckchi Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 1212 | 3062 | 1243 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 1216 | 3062 | 1243 |  | 
 | Siberian Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 920 | 6259 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 920 | 6259 |  | 
 | Laptev Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5326 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5326 |  | 
 | Kara Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 13 | 2 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 156 | 15 | 86 | 205 | 697 | 3398 | 1505 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 53 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 44 | 18 | 3 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 187 | 15 | 86 | 208 | 682 | 3388 | 1504 |  | 
 | Barents Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 5372 | 3450 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 2 | 356 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 311 | 26 | 193 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 91 | 4 | 197 | 172 | 5 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 14 | 5 | 50 | 171 | 29 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 16 | 3 | 60 | 217 | 251 | 227 | 0 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 5372 | 3477 | 12 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 2 | 324 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 279 | 19 | 127 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 74 | 10 | 182 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 48 | 4 | 110 | 101 | 16 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 36 | 4 | 83 | 410 | 265 | 227 | 0 |  | 
 | Greenland Basin: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 6034 | 2291 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 128 | 4 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 112 | 4 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 66 | 2 | 60 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 59 | 6 | 54 | 79 | 11 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 7 | 4 | 125 | 369 | 1038 | 1051 | 0 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 6034 | 2154 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 130 | 4 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 119 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 75 | 3 | 29 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 70 | 3 | 35 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 115 | 9 | 201 | 422 | 1041 | 1051 | 0 |  | 
 | Southeast Greenland: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 8115 | 3206 | 30 | 107 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 53 | 18 | 63 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 3 | 9 | 101 | 79 | 27 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 89 | 35 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 101 | 128 | 6 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 304 | 305 | 0 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 8115 | 3194 | 43 | 162 | 137 | 39 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 44 | 3 | 35 | 55 | 41 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 20 | 8 | 36 | 47 | 39 | 4 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 31 | 50 | 8 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 57 | 82 | 74 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 87 | 269 | 225 | 0 |  | 
 | Baffin Bay: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 135 | 10 | 22 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 65 | 21 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 52 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 429 | 4479 | 322 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 139 | 12 | 36 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 44 | 20 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 42 | 0 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 418 | 4479 | 322 |  | 
 | Hudson Bay: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 550 | 4213 | 3794 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 555 | 4212 | 3794 |  | 
 | Labrador Sea: | 
|
| 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 13063 | 3872 | 40 | 115 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 165 | 27 | 174 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 37 | 9 | 138 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 152 | 8 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 148 | 74 | 8 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 1193 | 644 | 0 |  | 
|  | observations |  
|  | Ice free | Ice free near MIZ
 | OW | VODI | ODI | CDI | VCDI near MIZ
 | VCDI |  
| m o
 d
 e
 l
 | Ice free | 13063 | 3639 | 33 | 108 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| OW | 0 | 176 | 14 | 92 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| VODI | 0 | 197 | 23 | 158 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| ODI | 0 | 61 | 5 | 64 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  
| CDI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 126 | 57 | 4 | 0 |  
| VCDI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 205 | 1218 | 648 | 0 |  |