Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77084 11146 88 395 178 109 17 0
OW 84 699 57 267 119 15 15 0
VODI 0 445 37 322 274 43 59 0
ODI 0 232 24 211 261 84 44 0
CDI 0 182 14 254 514 183 38 1
VCDI 0 181 20 283 1022 2928 6096 5075
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76550 11459 94 292 195 104 26 0
OW 76 762 49 253 143 23 11 0
VODI 0 467 42 366 254 92 35 0
ODI 0 253 26 224 224 82 47 0
CDI 0 158 15 339 437 93 83 0
VCDI 0 161 18 328 1323 2575 6002 5419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76676 11942 97 260 141 85 11 0
OW 71 653 59 294 66 4 14 0
VODI 0 459 53 475 182 27 11 0
ODI 0 167 19 276 361 39 8 0
CDI 0 98 14 237 482 176 44 0
VCDI 0 91 10 182 1122 2768 6257 5169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76365 11823 88 253 162 77 2 0
OW 74 798 53 234 84 30 12 0
VODI 0 537 43 385 200 25 13 0
ODI 0 182 25 288 310 49 5 0
CDI 0 100 13 226 358 190 44 0
VCDI 0 114 10 313 1242 2760 7407 4206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76367 11817 97 277 161 82 5 0
OW 72 793 35 235 100 23 11 0
VODI 0 493 43 322 185 27 12 0
ODI 0 229 33 269 283 47 6 0
CDI 0 106 13 267 364 180 34 0
VCDI 0 116 11 329 1263 2772 7415 4206

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75932 11490 112 307 155 46 0 0
OW 75 867 51 266 112 42 0 0
VODI 0 685 39 349 212 52 0 0
ODI 0 309 22 276 252 60 5 0
CDI 0 102 21 255 433 151 56 0
VCDI 0 101 11 323 1450 3155 7534 3792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75929 11399 112 327 173 63 0 0
OW 78 879 54 259 101 31 0 0
VODI 0 650 34 332 205 49 0 0
ODI 0 365 15 222 218 64 4 0
CDI 0 157 27 252 393 158 67 0
VCDI 0 104 14 384 1524 3141 7524 3792

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74339 12985 100 309 117 17 0 0
OW 75 758 67 319 99 9 0 0
VODI 0 509 54 500 305 29 0 0
ODI 0 182 12 355 469 64 0 0
CDI 0 96 14 161 539 264 14 0
VCDI 0 21 11 260 1258 3582 7137 4070
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74340 12532 106 365 178 39 0 0
OW 74 707 34 191 129 44 0 0
VODI 0 682 55 352 218 59 4 0
ODI 0 266 21 312 249 74 8 0
CDI 0 178 17 226 335 182 78 0
VCDI 0 186 25 458 1678 3567 7061 4070

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74538 12795 84 234 89 15 0 0
OW 74 773 67 308 76 5 0 0
VODI 0 481 57 453 264 9 0 0
ODI 0 160 14 390 289 45 0 0
CDI 0 115 14 308 358 129 0 0
VCDI 0 130 13 315 1564 3124 6752 5058
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74538 12427 87 298 154 41 0 0
OW 74 716 36 166 95 33 0 0
VODI 0 653 66 450 177 56 0 0
ODI 0 301 30 343 199 81 0 0
CDI 0 160 11 271 351 111 12 0
VCDI 0 197 19 480 1664 3005 6740 5058

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74974 12428 89 213 101 10 0 0
OW 74 773 47 236 71 17 0 0
VODI 0 515 55 411 211 23 0 0
ODI 0 205 25 301 274 59 0 0
CDI 0 109 10 296 332 139 3 0
VCDI 0 192 14 382 1360 2942 7022 5187
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74974 12072 72 225 161 59 0 0
OW 74 781 36 132 86 30 0 0
VODI 0 726 60 366 190 43 0 0
ODI 0 289 37 303 205 57 3 0
CDI 0 172 15 303 269 164 35 0
VCDI 0 182 20 510 1438 2837 6987 5187


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