Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 242 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 3 1 1 12 0 0
VODI 0 75 4 10 32 103 0 0
ODI 0 33 6 34 46 104 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 78 53 150 5 0
VCDI 0 31 5 127 278 957 4070 25529
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 224 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 1 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 3 19 0 36 2 0
ODI 0 35 2 25 29 119 8 0
CDI 0 16 0 54 67 159 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 100 277 866 4025 25866
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 274 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 1 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 3 21 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 2 21 6 3 0 0
CDI 0 30 3 42 28 122 32 4
VCDI 0 6 1 117 199 512 4339 26169
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 218 3 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 2 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 1 21 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 3 8 17 7 0 0
CDI 0 39 2 17 50 58 14 0
VCDI 0 69 9 125 218 716 4461 25848
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 229 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 1 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 1 23 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 32 3 9 18 8 0 0
CDI 0 44 2 15 40 39 22 0
VCDI 0 66 9 127 228 734 4453 25848

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 187 1 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 1 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 0 5 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 0 2 15 16 0 0
CDI 0 50 2 10 19 70 11 2
VCDI 0 172 18 132 258 897 5469 24528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 29 197 1 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 1 11 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 0 6 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 0 3 14 17 0 0
CDI 0 49 0 11 20 65 12 2
VCDI 0 169 20 131 259 901 5468 24528

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 244 1 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 1 14 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 0 7 24 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 0 4 40 6 0 0
CDI 0 55 1 5 17 56 13 2
VCDI 0 172 18 115 246 840 5127 24888
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 184 1 3 0 0 0 0
OW 2 54 1 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 0 15 9 0 0 0
ODI 0 50 0 6 36 4 5 0
CDI 0 75 1 5 29 59 18 3
VCDI 0 207 18 115 254 839 5117 24887

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98 157 2 5 0 0 0 0
OW 6 48 4 15 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 0 9 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 57 0 0 45 0 0 0
CDI 0 73 0 11 52 50 7 10
VCDI 0 304 22 144 402 1771 5773 22919
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83 128 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 18 53 4 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 3 61 1 17 37 0 0 0
ODI 0 62 0 11 38 1 0 0
CDI 0 76 0 16 69 66 1 9
VCDI 0 322 22 133 390 1754 5779 22920

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104 149 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 5 53 4 19 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 0 1 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 59 0 6 53 2 0 0
CDI 0 78 1 21 62 97 3 2
VCDI 0 252 20 132 459 1685 6570 22116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96 171 3 4 0 0 0 0
OW 13 65 2 17 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 0 8 89 1 0 0
ODI 0 57 0 21 61 30 0 0
CDI 0 68 2 12 88 151 17 4
VCDI 0 230 19 119 384 1602 6556 22114


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