Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78513 10291 77 396 216 333 0 0
OW 82 741 41 154 67 93 0 0
VODI 0 452 39 250 144 81 0 0
ODI 0 180 13 214 217 62 0 0
CDI 0 75 13 161 412 126 6 0
VCDI 0 52 14 201 1250 2873 7304 3957
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78339 10199 89 347 237 285 19 0
OW 116 863 32 124 89 101 0 0
VODI 5 602 36 180 132 100 3 0
ODI 0 313 14 142 171 63 6 0
CDI 0 191 15 153 275 141 12 0
VCDI 0 162 30 358 1454 2717 6358 4627
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78175 10638 93 388 187 133 0 0
OW 138 614 27 163 119 38 25 0
VODI 0 518 22 172 184 65 50 0
ODI 0 326 22 140 184 99 21 0
CDI 0 160 28 231 360 175 30 0
VCDI 0 123 18 358 1142 2155 6395 5384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76942 11474 77 339 183 146 0 0
OW 72 772 52 201 101 27 8 0
VODI 0 500 45 326 167 45 57 0
ODI 0 255 15 284 220 97 23 0
CDI 0 208 17 274 395 211 25 0
VCDI 0 170 18 296 1061 2900 6979 4118
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76943 11579 79 355 174 154 0 0
OW 71 670 53 186 118 33 9 0
VODI 0 492 42 297 173 44 63 0
ODI 0 255 15 305 209 100 20 0
CDI 0 206 16 257 392 223 25 0
VCDI 0 177 19 320 1061 2872 6975 4118

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76600 11572 99 370 164 121 0 0
OW 79 679 51 285 119 22 2 0
VODI 0 401 43 382 275 75 33 0
ODI 0 231 24 243 216 91 42 0
CDI 0 167 13 343 487 144 40 2
VCDI 0 144 17 264 1177 2669 5690 5724
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76597 11691 94 383 184 129 0 0
OW 82 590 57 295 119 27 4 0
VODI 0 349 42 349 232 72 44 0
ODI 0 225 23 242 222 94 35 0
CDI 0 187 15 354 490 135 41 2
VCDI 0 152 16 264 1191 2665 5683 5724

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76373 12342 82 238 144 99 11 0
OW 71 588 75 326 63 15 13 0
VODI 0 338 56 617 224 29 12 0
ODI 0 137 13 263 444 41 17 0
CDI 0 102 14 265 554 217 27 0
VCDI 0 65 8 103 984 2475 6374 5281
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76372 11542 76 276 216 121 36 0
OW 72 907 58 244 85 37 11 0
VODI 0 462 40 371 152 80 50 0
ODI 0 273 28 237 160 76 74 0
CDI 0 183 25 341 314 117 93 0
VCDI 0 205 21 343 1486 2445 6190 5281

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76682 11831 85 235 147 74 16 0
OW 74 738 58 230 58 13 16 0
VODI 0 518 46 398 191 26 11 0
ODI 0 175 27 268 332 40 8 0
CDI 0 110 13 217 374 170 53 0
VCDI 0 115 14 276 1186 2897 7015 4363
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76680 11136 74 250 203 91 47 0
OW 76 1077 54 233 58 30 11 0
VODI 0 584 42 305 213 79 46 0
ODI 0 266 24 241 207 94 69 0
CDI 0 200 23 198 389 123 73 0
VCDI 0 224 26 397 1218 2803 6873 4363

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76183 11585 103 275 164 64 0 0
OW 75 839 44 266 106 33 4 0
VODI 0 659 42 341 208 33 7 0
ODI 0 227 27 302 278 50 8 0
CDI 0 100 16 246 410 162 17 0
VCDI 0 106 15 277 1291 2776 7504 4257
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76182 11120 93 357 232 121 20 0
OW 75 1091 43 248 113 44 3 0
VODI 1 700 44 332 272 95 20 0
ODI 0 250 12 195 257 81 88 0
CDI 0 159 20 167 358 149 73 0
VCDI 0 196 35 408 1225 2628 7336 4257


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