Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 597 16 65 35 0 0 0
OW 0 156 7 57 49 4 0 0
VODI 0 126 7 56 80 17 0 0
ODI 0 67 7 45 79 19 0 0
CDI 0 59 2 40 105 156 50 0
VCDI 0 133 15 129 331 1472 7113 20977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 25 399 9 71 32 0 0 0
OW 0 182 7 87 65 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 5 100 120 27 0 0
ODI 0 99 2 47 98 36 1 0
CDI 0 98 2 16 159 186 24 0
VCDI 0 246 29 165 439 1331 5848 21965
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 336 1 20 3 0 0 0
OW 0 85 6 45 82 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 1 52 153 2 0 0
ODI 0 105 4 38 105 46 0 0
CDI 0 55 5 44 88 163 11 2
VCDI 0 101 12 160 346 1044 4863 23983
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 262 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 71 3 2 29 5 0 0
VODI 0 65 3 14 103 53 0 0
ODI 0 42 2 42 91 67 0 0
CDI 0 35 3 108 44 144 9 1
VCDI 0 62 6 97 325 1056 4681 24634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 255 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 69 3 2 21 5 0 0
VODI 0 66 3 12 98 46 0 0
ODI 0 42 2 39 95 67 0 0
CDI 0 28 2 95 49 151 8 1
VCDI 0 77 7 115 329 1056 4682 24634

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 227 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 3 1 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 61 4 16 3 62 7 0
ODI 0 35 2 33 14 139 14 0
CDI 0 13 4 69 62 124 59 2
VCDI 0 0 0 128 259 817 4097 25767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 227 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 6 14 0 45 5 0
ODI 0 41 2 27 17 126 13 0
CDI 0 23 4 54 44 122 63 2
VCDI 0 0 0 152 277 851 4096 25767

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 299 1 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 3 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 2 28 6 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 1 34 40 22 0 0
CDI 0 2 0 72 163 296 14 3
VCDI 0 0 0 25 114 562 4228 26070
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 213 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 4 15 0 12 0 0
ODI 0 36 1 16 6 44 38 0
CDI 0 31 2 34 81 78 55 11
VCDI 0 0 0 116 236 746 4149 26062

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 247 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 53 3 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 1 18 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 3 13 16 1 5 0
CDI 0 40 4 18 53 68 13 0
VCDI 0 44 6 127 203 826 4521 25691
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19 196 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 3 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 1 12 0 7 0 0
CDI 0 49 4 13 35 97 16 0
VCDI 0 75 14 160 238 791 4523 25691

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 200 2 12 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 0 11 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 1 8 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 38 3 8 14 11 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 23 16 63 17 0
VCDI 0 105 12 152 270 889 5512 24531
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 204 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 1 1 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 2 14 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 1 22 1 1 0 0
CDI 0 26 1 29 19 32 11 2
VCDI 0 116 15 148 295 930 5518 24529


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