Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 1 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 2 16 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 85 122 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 114 276 137 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 408 407 68 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 2870 9951 31244
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 20 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 28 78 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 217 90 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 372 344 65 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 207 2400 9317 32651
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 4 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 5 115 46 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 88 486 21 13
VCDI 0 0 0 0 185 2407 11863 30588
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 34 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 32 10 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 94 210 82 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 159 2127 11164 31933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 33 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 38 11 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 101 228 86 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 144 2107 11164 31933

Date: 2023-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 46 2 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 11 141 44 18
VCDI 0 0 0 0 66 1523 9825 34188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 32 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 192 66 17
VCDI 0 0 0 0 67 1471 9803 34190

Date: 2023-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 10 77 12 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 1355 7835 36552
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 1 37 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 5 118 49 14
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 1277 7797 36542

Date: 2023-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 20 19 2 21
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 1675 9597 34506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 8 98 27 11
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 1560 9572 34516

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 26 58 38 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 143 2235 12771 30582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 100 84 93
VCDI 0 0 0 0 170 2181 12725 30496


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