Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 800 18 78 50 40 0 0
OW 0 52 12 68 29 22 3 0
VODI 0 24 7 92 111 10 6 0
ODI 0 6 3 36 142 35 7 0
CDI 0 1 1 22 80 219 87 39
VCDI 0 0 0 15 180 934 9588 19262
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 681 14 89 28 7 0 0
OW 0 115 4 44 39 16 0 0
VODI 0 54 15 81 69 14 0 0
ODI 0 19 4 58 166 15 3 0
CDI 0 25 2 18 151 160 27 8
VCDI 0 47 12 81 187 1195 9221 19407
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 687 18 63 10 0 0 0
OW 0 46 3 95 70 4 0 0
VODI 0 27 1 54 109 22 0 0
ODI 0 17 0 15 81 71 0 0
CDI 0 15 4 18 51 219 17 4
VCDI 0 12 5 96 154 606 6057 23420
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 577 17 80 32 0 0 0
OW 0 110 5 60 45 4 0 0
VODI 0 71 3 64 86 22 0 0
ODI 0 35 4 33 61 64 0 0
CDI 0 37 3 24 66 151 33 4
VCDI 0 69 11 108 213 890 6930 22134
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 36 576 17 80 35 0 0 0
OW 0 111 6 74 55 7 0 0
VODI 0 67 2 55 72 23 0 0
ODI 0 42 4 27 71 57 0 0
CDI 0 36 3 24 56 148 32 7
VCDI 0 67 11 109 214 896 6931 22131

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 514 15 73 31 0 0 0
OW 0 211 6 65 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 153 10 75 93 17 0 0
ODI 0 78 3 59 88 25 7 0
CDI 0 64 5 36 151 193 33 0
VCDI 0 189 18 156 385 1660 6938 20662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 572 15 72 42 0 0 0
OW 0 185 6 71 41 5 0 0
VODI 0 124 10 83 88 18 0 0
ODI 0 83 3 44 113 23 9 0
CDI 0 72 6 34 139 204 33 0
VCDI 0 173 17 160 379 1645 6936 20662

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 354 8 23 11 0 0 0
OW 0 97 5 104 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 5 104 101 5 0 0
ODI 0 75 3 25 148 42 0 0
CDI 0 63 3 22 143 180 7 0
VCDI 0 230 22 177 361 1071 5604 22830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 274 8 57 92 5 0 0
OW 0 123 5 110 42 11 0 0
VODI 0 167 3 62 110 38 0 0
ODI 0 112 1 14 99 79 2 0
CDI 0 111 5 12 108 174 67 3
VCDI 0 168 24 200 359 991 5542 22827

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 298 0 0 4 0 0 0
OW 0 79 1 20 68 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 8 59 136 2 0 0
ODI 0 41 5 70 120 17 0 0
CDI 0 42 3 94 95 127 6 5
VCDI 0 59 6 119 325 1062 4611 24524
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 300 1 2 119 0 0 0
OW 0 72 1 22 104 16 0 0
VODI 0 73 4 75 123 62 0 0
ODI 0 55 10 81 35 107 0 0
CDI 0 51 5 84 68 197 16 0
VCDI 0 21 2 98 299 826 4601 24529

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 242 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 3 1 1 12 0 0
VODI 0 75 4 10 32 103 0 0
ODI 0 33 6 34 46 104 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 78 53 150 5 0
VCDI 0 31 5 127 278 957 4070 25529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 280 3 2 0 87 0 0
OW 0 56 1 3 14 114 0 0
VODI 0 50 6 17 64 142 12 0
ODI 0 29 4 41 10 109 20 0
CDI 0 26 4 70 53 112 42 22
VCDI 0 16 3 117 269 762 4001 25507


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