Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79393 11050 107 493 277 342 0 0
OW 63 493 76 439 168 70 4 0
VODI 0 191 38 543 475 55 11 0
ODI 0 51 12 288 1050 237 26 0
CDI 0 32 4 130 993 1248 191 39
VCDI 0 15 8 107 1123 8042 25619 53545
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78701 11378 96 418 289 358 0 0
OW 68 754 53 326 212 67 1 0
VODI 0 523 83 560 395 90 7 0
ODI 0 194 24 545 642 181 7 0
CDI 0 127 10 346 977 690 48 13
VCDI 0 56 22 171 1302 7946 25976 53392
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78109 12167 99 397 197 288 0 0
OW 69 665 53 326 160 69 0 0
VODI 0 325 45 587 528 96 0 0
ODI 0 118 11 374 677 411 20 0
CDI 0 52 9 91 747 899 55 4
VCDI 0 26 13 202 1335 7202 21709 58913
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78606 10974 105 482 272 348 0 0
OW 78 841 52 245 125 95 0 0
VODI 0 487 48 426 363 104 0 0
ODI 0 152 18 367 746 307 5 0
CDI 0 94 16 210 738 677 210 18
VCDI 0 119 22 269 1501 7435 23430 57063
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78602 11153 108 499 296 361 0 0
OW 80 709 53 289 146 105 0 0
VODI 2 419 41 409 380 140 0 0
ODI 0 158 18 306 681 256 9 0
CDI 0 105 17 206 725 665 176 21
VCDI 0 123 24 290 1517 7439 23460 57060

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78204 11144 95 426 229 281 0 0
OW 97 1024 37 228 119 82 0 0
VODI 2 670 57 328 345 106 0 0
ODI 0 318 21 282 523 198 13 0
CDI 0 161 18 262 884 676 104 9
VCDI 0 260 31 434 1973 7266 22909 57232
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78198 11364 98 447 246 312 0 0
OW 102 873 33 234 116 74 0 0
VODI 3 567 56 334 375 122 0 0
ODI 0 327 23 244 519 179 22 0
CDI 0 167 16 247 842 646 104 12
VCDI 0 279 33 454 1975 7276 22900 57229

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78545 10878 99 376 201 107 0 0
OW 113 721 52 283 161 56 39 0
VODI 0 586 24 341 300 101 22 0
ODI 0 374 16 169 539 202 7 0
CDI 0 264 31 182 662 1048 106 7
VCDI 0 409 41 477 1727 5969 21222 60591
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78540 10263 97 427 331 239 63 0
OW 110 795 41 230 156 105 1 0
VODI 8 910 32 250 310 126 9 0
ODI 0 437 16 185 345 243 88 0
CDI 0 423 22 152 532 695 220 13
VCDI 0 404 55 584 1916 6075 21015 60585

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77156 11729 90 389 179 143 0 0
OW 88 796 37 217 189 34 13 0
VODI 0 546 37 331 361 62 49 0
ODI 0 321 16 298 373 147 21 0
CDI 0 218 20 363 562 702 92 18
VCDI 0 225 28 446 1545 6070 22441 60696
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77127 11176 75 379 353 254 81 0
OW 117 814 34 157 200 81 42 0
VODI 0 771 41 476 296 129 21 0
ODI 0 333 26 321 257 208 30 0
CDI 0 396 23 244 461 664 129 7
VCDI 0 345 29 467 1642 5822 22313 60707

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77098 11388 88 395 178 109 17 0
OW 84 762 60 268 120 27 15 0
VODI 0 520 41 332 306 171 59 0
ODI 0 265 30 245 307 228 45 0
CDI 0 195 17 332 576 542 98 9
VCDI 0 212 25 410 1400 5666 21085 63323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77062 10847 73 358 250 259 116 0
OW 93 780 42 214 89 188 58 0
VODI 26 618 66 358 354 229 40 0
ODI 1 321 23 245 277 193 44 0
CDI 0 354 26 280 407 378 155 70
VCDI 0 422 31 527 1510 5496 20906 63262


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