Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - GODAE regions

Bulletin date: 2022-12-22

Model: ARC MFC - TOPAZ

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-26

Best estimate

Forecast

Arctic Deep Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 2 15 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 5 8 18 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 18 30 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 35 46 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 841 5410 30434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 3 16 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 12 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 12 22 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 18 24 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 865 5410 30434

Queen Elisabeth Islands:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 366 2747
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 20 366 2747

Beaufort Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 83 1731 8156
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 83 1733 8162

Chuckchi Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 48 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 168 84 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 495 2565 2198
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 85 25 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 208 554 2565 2198

Siberian Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 1484 5713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 1484 5713

Laptev Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 677 4609
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 677 4592

Kara Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 448 9 48 11 0 0 0
OW 0 78 8 59 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 6 61 84 10 0 0
ODI 0 21 1 24 99 43 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 12 117 180 5 0
VCDI 0 63 8 69 149 676 3318 640
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 407 9 48 37 0 0 0
OW 0 97 6 58 32 11 0 0
VODI 0 34 6 56 72 33 0 0
ODI 0 25 2 19 101 58 4 0
CDI 0 27 1 15 90 197 23 0
VCDI 0 66 8 77 166 610 3296 640

Barents Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6197 2971 21 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 14 106 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 5 118 119 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 1 28 174 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 70 196 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 172 751 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6197 2899 11 50 5 0 0 0
OW 0 225 11 63 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 18 146 85 3 0 0
ODI 0 18 0 58 146 14 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 10 140 102 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 31 273 757 0

Greenland Basin:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5744 2628 7 32 1 0 0 0
OW 0 79 5 56 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 2 86 38 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 3 38 75 0 0 0
CDI 0 8 7 23 121 14 0 0
VCDI 0 4 1 71 197 1121 1243 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5744 2521 6 21 5 0 0 0
OW 0 117 3 41 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 4 92 23 2 0 0
ODI 0 40 1 44 66 2 0 0
CDI 0 34 4 24 105 20 0 0
VCDI 0 12 7 84 231 1111 1243 0

Southeast Greenland:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8604 3008 32 186 176 301 0 0
OW 0 60 7 18 31 50 0 0
VODI 0 21 9 52 33 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 31 37 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 56 28 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 48 106 17 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8604 2956 34 193 211 357 0 0
OW 0 73 6 32 27 32 0 0
VODI 0 48 2 15 37 28 1 0
ODI 0 12 6 19 17 21 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 21 27 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 68 79 3 0

Baffin Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 578 16 46 1 0 0 0
OW 0 30 8 52 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 2 54 30 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 64 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 86 22 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 694 3120 893
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 510 11 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 10 47 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 4 52 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 43 38 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 64 14 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 703 3120 893

Hudson Bay:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 2 19 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 208 20 332 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 82 7 209 222 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 207 248 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 308 2023 3643 849
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 6 10 0 0 0
OW 0 22 1 17 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 9 102 66 33 0 0
ODI 0 125 12 169 142 74 0 0
CDI 0 41 7 217 178 222 34 2
VCDI 0 0 0 58 406 2004 3609 847

Labrador Sea:

observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16390 2149 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 169 18 21 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 26 126 63 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 5 112 147 0 0 0
CDI 0 9 1 34 138 2 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 173 438 108 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16382 1959 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 8 275 8 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 116 28 88 23 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 15 94 92 0 0 0
CDI 0 19 0 79 132 2 0 0
VCDI 0 5 1 24 274 438 108 0


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