Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1139 21 81 0 0 0 0
OW 0 200 6 71 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 23 96 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 99 108 6 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 57 101 96 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 330 1134 6173 22055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1031 17 89 52 0 0 0
OW 0 188 12 94 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 11 135 70 7 0 0
ODI 0 21 5 78 96 53 10 0
CDI 0 10 3 49 63 172 38 1
VCDI 0 0 2 116 359 1029 9025 19106
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1089 21 97 41 0 0 0
OW 0 82 23 134 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 8 181 70 2 0 0
ODI 0 11 1 54 191 28 0 0
CDI 0 8 4 26 100 159 54 10
VCDI 0 16 5 88 263 719 5025 23517
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 845 18 87 52 30 0 0
OW 0 47 11 82 28 23 0 0
VODI 0 22 8 119 115 16 0 0
ODI 0 6 1 27 171 33 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 15 99 195 23 100
VCDI 0 0 0 14 203 665 7276 21749
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 850 19 101 56 35 0 0
OW 0 42 12 84 44 22 0 0
VODI 0 22 7 103 148 17 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 29 125 83 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 16 99 144 25 116
VCDI 0 0 0 11 196 661 7274 21733

Date: 2022-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 752 12 75 45 36 3 0
OW 0 90 19 62 14 16 10 0
VODI 0 32 10 121 75 9 7 0
ODI 0 10 2 43 158 16 9 0
CDI 0 9 4 17 139 210 42 15
VCDI 0 2 2 69 168 1434 9282 19060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3 768 14 87 48 37 6 0
OW 0 84 18 66 16 17 8 0
VODI 0 25 10 115 108 14 8 0
ODI 0 9 2 37 141 41 7 0
CDI 0 9 5 17 116 182 69 15
VCDI 0 0 0 65 170 1430 9255 19060

Date: 2022-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 732 16 62 11 0 0 0
OW 0 86 9 79 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 6 76 98 10 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 26 121 43 0 0
CDI 0 17 0 17 140 183 5 8
VCDI 0 63 8 69 168 848 7403 21666
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 649 10 49 37 0 0 0
OW 0 130 7 64 32 11 0 0
VODI 0 49 12 77 73 33 0 0
ODI 0 33 2 40 118 58 4 0
CDI 0 31 2 20 134 202 23 25
VCDI 0 66 8 79 183 780 7381 21649

Date: 2022-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 617 17 90 20 2 0 0
OW 0 54 4 70 80 9 0 0
VODI 0 25 2 49 90 42 0 0
ODI 0 13 2 22 59 92 0 0
CDI 0 17 1 22 35 208 16 13
VCDI 0 14 6 68 160 413 3565 26169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 549 11 105 69 20 0 0
OW 0 101 6 37 77 38 0 0
VODI 0 37 4 51 66 102 7 0
ODI 0 18 2 31 27 88 25 0
CDI 0 18 3 24 34 178 101 37
VCDI 0 17 6 73 171 340 3448 26145

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 597 16 65 35 0 0 0
OW 0 156 7 57 49 4 0 0
VODI 0 126 7 56 80 17 0 0
ODI 0 67 7 45 79 19 0 0
CDI 0 59 2 40 105 156 50 0
VCDI 0 133 15 129 331 1472 7113 20977
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 563 16 97 110 0 0 0
OW 0 155 15 56 64 12 0 0
VODI 0 79 4 72 96 54 0 0
ODI 0 50 1 14 82 87 15 0
CDI 0 69 0 4 51 244 60 21
VCDI 0 222 18 149 276 1271 7088 20956


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