Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81588 12671 167 711 674 328 8 0
OW 52 828 65 799 884 147 5 0
VODI 0 341 43 482 1449 737 19 0
ODI 0 139 20 259 1180 1063 36 0
CDI 0 56 7 149 781 1661 298 6
VCDI 0 56 8 150 619 8802 21313 48447
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80727 12523 130 708 642 403 25 0
OW 54 868 67 790 791 146 5 0
VODI 0 389 65 586 1382 426 13 0
ODI 0 131 24 337 1371 797 3 0
CDI 0 73 17 229 1351 1503 179 17
VCDI 0 5 5 112 1268 8208 24970 45708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80704 12383 148 696 407 181 6 0
OW 63 464 80 629 263 42 19 0
VODI 0 143 43 680 935 328 10 0
ODI 0 36 6 248 1811 1055 5 0
CDI 0 6 4 108 1891 2276 41 20
VCDI 0 0 0 48 1012 10112 22550 47595
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79718 12518 140 608 326 246 7 0
OW 60 624 89 599 281 72 25 0
VODI 0 185 52 660 709 351 25 0
ODI 0 36 6 289 1355 759 5 0
CDI 0 18 5 139 1356 1975 101 38
VCDI 0 4 0 115 1452 10144 20312 51644
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79718 12551 159 718 361 249 13 0
OW 60 577 78 549 277 119 28 0
VODI 0 194 41 607 811 369 18 0
ODI 0 39 9 297 1310 791 8 0
CDI 0 21 5 121 1201 1825 116 34
VCDI 0 3 0 118 1519 10194 20292 51648

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79509 12175 139 643 283 211 0 0
OW 61 729 58 557 348 59 3 0
VODI 0 330 52 622 719 298 26 0
ODI 0 129 25 399 1083 332 216 0
CDI 0 41 15 226 1072 1147 674 1
VCDI 0 0 1 189 1322 11932 24575 46847
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79509 12141 146 743 306 211 0 0
OW 61 740 51 464 329 61 11 0
VODI 0 340 50 588 777 332 61 0
ODI 0 140 23 425 1103 387 225 0
CDI 0 43 19 224 952 1113 668 2
VCDI 0 0 1 192 1360 11875 24529 46846

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78526 12841 118 578 275 204 0 0
OW 61 546 92 484 223 38 0 0
VODI 0 197 54 965 808 62 0 0
ODI 0 38 10 284 1518 392 11 0
CDI 0 23 12 107 793 1842 249 4
VCDI 0 10 4 158 923 10414 24396 49788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78526 12529 141 712 422 253 0 0
OW 61 660 42 380 354 57 3 0
VODI 0 351 52 561 827 314 48 0
ODI 0 57 28 390 939 558 88 0
CDI 0 41 19 263 795 1825 377 26
VCDI 0 17 8 270 1203 9945 24140 49766

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78255 12740 147 591 276 279 0 0
OW 62 457 66 537 179 46 1 0
VODI 0 224 43 705 723 53 3 0
ODI 0 32 11 345 1367 435 8 0
CDI 0 6 4 123 968 1253 169 39
VCDI 0 0 0 112 1238 8203 20833 56515
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78255 12323 141 612 355 324 4 0
OW 62 627 37 398 180 47 9 0
VODI 0 400 60 561 682 254 20 3
ODI 0 79 25 374 973 458 111 81
CDI 0 22 4 263 958 1032 381 366
VCDI 0 8 4 205 1603 8154 20489 56104

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79393 11050 107 493 277 342 0 0
OW 63 493 76 439 168 70 4 0
VODI 0 191 38 543 475 55 11 0
ODI 0 51 12 288 1050 237 26 0
CDI 0 32 4 130 993 1248 191 39
VCDI 0 15 8 107 1123 8042 25619 53545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79393 10750 102 469 327 402 5 0
OW 63 656 69 411 166 47 14 0
VODI 0 308 44 498 595 117 43 0
ODI 0 68 14 309 814 449 143 58
CDI 0 39 9 156 858 1041 378 291
VCDI 0 11 7 157 1326 7938 25268 53235


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