Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83440 10248 69 276 148 85 23 0
OW 35 446 24 135 54 15 0 0
VODI 0 256 48 170 137 9 0 0
ODI 0 74 22 160 169 14 0 0
CDI 0 34 6 157 278 89 1 0
VCDI 0 16 6 132 928 4348 4003 3045
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83183 9955 71 362 232 102 0 0
OW 50 470 16 139 93 8 0 0
VODI 0 312 39 155 183 5 0 0
ODI 0 101 23 169 188 21 0 0
CDI 0 41 2 158 325 125 0 0
VCDI 0 19 7 157 952 5028 5502 907
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82442 10425 92 493 377 137 0 0
OW 38 387 31 201 95 33 0 0
VODI 0 237 29 226 214 35 0 0
ODI 0 86 14 152 297 57 0 0
CDI 0 42 14 112 363 245 0 0
VCDI 0 48 6 180 730 4146 4766 2350
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82423 9816 101 494 404 206 6 0
OW 51 443 26 184 146 19 5 0
VODI 0 307 25 184 265 73 1 0
ODI 0 116 20 143 254 98 0 0
CDI 0 51 12 122 264 378 0 0
VCDI 0 62 5 180 444 4066 4434 3272
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82423 9828 103 515 390 206 6 0
OW 51 458 24 188 172 24 5 0
VODI 0 318 26 173 286 65 1 0
ODI 0 94 21 138 238 114 0 0
CDI 0 42 10 117 268 376 0 0
VCDI 0 55 5 176 423 4055 4434 3272

Date: 2022-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80994 10907 95 490 397 303 7 0
OW 52 446 29 219 159 25 4 0
VODI 0 229 43 222 290 80 7 0
ODI 0 72 17 170 265 120 0 0
CDI 0 44 2 103 315 337 20 0
VCDI 0 37 7 138 413 3794 4743 3505
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80994 10872 97 510 406 314 8 0
OW 52 473 33 221 162 22 3 0
VODI 0 258 40 224 315 76 7 0
ODI 0 64 15 166 271 117 0 0
CDI 0 40 1 90 282 350 20 0
VCDI 0 28 7 131 403 3780 4743 3505

Date: 2022-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80596 11084 100 504 414 215 2 0
OW 58 331 61 355 86 34 14 0
VODI 0 95 21 385 316 36 8 0
ODI 0 23 5 133 512 44 7 0
CDI 0 5 6 77 453 343 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 392 4337 6036 1957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80599 10715 97 519 449 279 19 0
OW 55 457 41 265 75 9 6 0
VODI 0 256 37 326 320 53 10 0
ODI 0 70 6 193 366 48 0 0
CDI 0 33 5 104 408 186 4 0
VCDI 0 7 7 94 555 4434 6036 1957

Date: 2022-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80373 10863 113 478 356 158 2 0
OW 70 255 55 307 140 30 25 0
VODI 0 95 18 327 357 62 9 0
ODI 0 28 2 87 494 87 6 0
CDI 0 13 7 72 448 474 85 0
VCDI 0 0 0 39 336 4037 4651 4141
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80373 10574 103 469 373 180 29 0
OW 70 399 55 275 144 42 7 0
VODI 0 189 27 285 327 69 9 0
ODI 0 56 3 146 434 109 7 0
CDI 0 34 6 63 405 410 37 0
VCDI 0 2 1 72 448 4038 4689 4141

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79557 10982 128 449 300 261 7 0
OW 60 329 33 274 173 42 18 0
VODI 0 106 23 265 384 66 24 0
ODI 0 24 9 114 441 41 8 0
CDI 0 0 1 90 467 504 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 70 525 4632 4486 4139
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79557 10767 127 453 326 308 39 0
OW 60 448 30 313 198 50 11 0
VODI 0 174 26 226 474 61 11 0
ODI 0 44 8 103 408 125 5 0
CDI 0 8 3 81 425 585 64 0
VCDI 0 0 0 86 459 4417 4481 4139


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