Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 1846 24 72 80 0 0 0
OW 0 108 16 79 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 7 78 79 10 0 0
ODI 0 24 4 59 139 39 0 0
CDI 0 16 2 44 129 188 59 8
VCDI 0 13 2 62 215 1080 8253 19241
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1820 19 113 88 0 0 0
OW 0 150 15 67 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 18 140 67 7 0 0
ODI 0 46 8 72 130 26 0 0
CDI 0 29 2 60 181 59 81 22
VCDI 0 14 6 112 242 1295 7509 19549
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 22 1855 31 205 44 0 0 0
OW 0 106 13 116 61 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 8 141 139 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 11 57 166 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 90 142 3 30
VCDI 0 0 0 19 179 1291 7190 19964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1564 35 123 58 0 0 0
OW 0 33 10 117 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 5 108 75 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 86 234 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 332 71 23 16
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 1451 6054 21501
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1565 34 149 54 0 0 0
OW 0 30 10 92 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 6 106 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 72 207 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 360 80 23 15
VCDI 0 0 0 3 101 1442 6054 21502

Date: 2022-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1191 41 167 66 16 0 0
OW 0 39 10 134 70 70 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 56 91 37 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 130 53 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 184 167 4 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 980 5141 23361
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1194 41 194 84 23 0 0
OW 0 36 10 105 55 58 0 0
VODI 0 4 1 56 86 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 130 62 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 171 196 2 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 946 5143 23362

Date: 2022-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1165 30 135 28 0 0 0
OW 0 91 14 125 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 7 161 191 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 272 5 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 331 45 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 184 947 5790 22374
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1118 26 174 77 0 0 0
OW 0 143 18 98 148 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 6 54 116 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 65 121 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 164 29 6 3
VCDI 0 0 0 55 428 958 5794 22371

Date: 2022-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1034 29 119 38 0 0 0
OW 0 122 10 88 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 16 129 134 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 108 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 143 172 20 38
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 713 7213 21523
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 946 29 127 49 0 0 0
OW 0 133 11 76 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 82 6 110 104 90 0 0
ODI 0 18 6 32 66 60 1 0
CDI 0 1 3 37 60 128 27 65
VCDI 0 0 0 14 261 762 7205 21496

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1139 21 81 0 0 0 0
OW 0 200 6 71 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 113 23 96 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 4 99 108 6 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 57 101 96 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 330 1134 6173 22055
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 871 14 56 0 0 0 0
OW 0 174 11 51 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 170 4 75 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 131 11 68 99 2 0 0
CDI 0 67 6 50 89 33 9 55
VCDI 0 49 8 140 375 1201 6198 22000


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