Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82448 11004 116 390 153 38 0 0
OW 35 186 34 245 144 12 0 0
VODI 0 46 16 256 256 39 0 0
ODI 0 8 3 93 374 72 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 468 453 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 451 1742 4966 4940
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82691 10578 125 400 191 69 5 0
OW 35 205 31 236 145 9 0 0
VODI 0 54 17 255 243 25 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 113 317 69 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 398 438 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 353 2814 4715 4504
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82153 11382 107 378 172 143 12 0
OW 35 200 57 232 78 14 0 0
VODI 0 80 20 297 177 5 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 169 255 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 476 166 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 727 4444 4010 3154
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82654 10899 79 311 158 79 2 0
OW 50 330 41 198 54 6 0 0
VODI 0 164 37 226 161 1 0 0
ODI 0 43 9 165 223 4 0 0
CDI 0 17 1 99 429 56 0 0
VCDI 0 2 1 67 844 4367 4195 3128
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82669 10969 93 324 161 79 2 0
OW 35 278 32 192 55 7 0 0
VODI 0 140 34 237 156 0 0 0
ODI 0 43 7 150 225 7 0 0
CDI 0 18 1 87 433 87 0 0
VCDI 0 7 1 76 839 4333 4195 3128

Date: 2022-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83653 9772 62 290 173 90 8 0
OW 35 501 25 134 57 14 0 0
VODI 0 307 42 155 145 5 0 0
ODI 0 97 14 154 193 11 0 0
CDI 0 68 4 130 315 118 0 0
VCDI 0 29 13 190 816 4888 5459 1133
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83653 9840 68 306 178 98 8 0
OW 35 458 21 123 50 7 0 0
VODI 0 280 41 170 148 5 0 0
ODI 0 89 13 133 192 9 0 0
CDI 0 69 3 119 318 107 0 0
VCDI 0 38 14 202 813 4900 5459 1133

Date: 2022-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82793 10308 86 454 338 114 0 0
OW 35 398 26 188 87 41 0 0
VODI 0 259 31 241 183 41 0 0
ODI 0 67 14 193 260 64 0 0
CDI 0 36 11 111 328 202 0 0
VCDI 0 22 6 140 804 4879 4280 2060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82790 9979 76 439 350 166 0 0
OW 38 456 25 128 80 14 0 0
VODI 0 353 27 205 152 26 0 0
ODI 0 140 17 160 134 38 0 0
CDI 0 86 16 139 245 141 2 0
VCDI 0 76 13 256 1039 4956 4278 2060

Date: 2022-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82239 10275 93 509 360 109 2 0
OW 50 449 24 198 120 22 1 0
VODI 0 322 31 202 255 29 0 0
ODI 0 97 16 129 318 61 0 0
CDI 0 40 12 108 375 288 9 0
VCDI 0 50 3 166 545 4126 5945 1522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82239 10253 87 434 326 131 3 0
OW 50 396 25 212 98 25 0 0
VODI 0 280 35 208 217 21 0 0
ODI 0 121 18 145 287 37 0 0
CDI 0 89 5 80 379 222 3 0
VCDI 0 94 9 233 666 4199 5951 1522

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81584 10563 89 478 392 245 8 0
OW 52 440 27 200 171 17 5 0
VODI 0 255 32 198 266 70 8 0
ODI 0 91 16 164 267 104 0 0
CDI 0 48 3 100 298 350 19 0
VCDI 0 56 8 150 420 3902 5401 2603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81579 10267 79 398 350 255 16 0
OW 57 478 26 152 106 34 5 0
VODI 0 408 44 245 208 27 0 0
ODI 0 118 8 214 252 92 0 0
CDI 0 74 9 93 386 317 30 0
VCDI 0 108 9 188 512 3963 5390 2603


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