Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85634 16747 183 899 385 38 0 0
OW 111 1271 98 614 301 15 0 0
VODI 18 291 55 692 629 74 0 0
ODI 0 31 8 296 857 199 0 0
CDI 0 18 3 87 993 779 112 13
VCDI 0 14 5 52 1043 6569 21907 46007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85443 15906 198 778 419 70 5 0
OW 132 1262 95 761 433 27 0 0
VODI 43 330 59 519 777 153 0 0
ODI 0 52 10 264 622 424 13 0
CDI 0 29 3 74 666 1076 114 25
VCDI 0 3 3 91 677 6094 21855 47543
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84869 16421 166 640 292 164 12 0
OW 121 937 148 687 260 82 0 0
VODI 12 306 49 978 644 124 0 0
ODI 0 50 10 276 974 259 0 0
CDI 0 10 3 114 831 1018 74 19
VCDI 0 1 5 66 947 8057 20777 46645
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85045 15781 133 498 211 79 2 0
OW 94 1297 119 679 243 15 0 0
VODI 8 679 93 755 650 121 0 0
ODI 0 151 26 370 802 155 0 0
CDI 0 45 12 173 904 835 17 17
VCDI 0 38 5 140 1261 8169 15985 51441
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85073 16182 171 632 232 80 2 0
OW 64 1052 93 637 236 24 0 0
VODI 10 558 86 714 629 103 0 0
ODI 0 115 22 322 790 121 0 0
CDI 0 47 11 167 919 835 19 22
VCDI 0 37 5 143 1265 8211 15983 51436

Date: 2022-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84901 14713 124 528 381 90 8 0
OW 61 1670 92 626 340 42 0 0
VODI 1 764 90 628 798 315 0 0
ODI 0 272 40 360 668 367 0 0
CDI 0 115 13 254 743 901 183 5
VCDI 0 44 18 283 1385 10803 24863 39559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84894 15151 155 675 489 105 8 0
OW 68 1347 77 567 276 52 0 0
VODI 1 714 80 611 747 273 0 0
ODI 0 210 31 306 719 339 1 0
CDI 0 108 13 227 720 861 184 16
VCDI 0 48 21 293 1364 10888 24861 39548

Date: 2022-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83090 16007 152 735 361 114 0 0
OW 35 1468 117 837 190 41 0 0
VODI 0 802 91 1175 871 82 0 0
ODI 0 203 31 498 1058 390 61 0
CDI 0 91 16 240 851 1264 149 12
VCDI 0 29 10 217 1514 11191 19886 43169
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83087 15331 161 881 502 199 0 0
OW 38 1590 66 497 309 71 11 0
VODI 0 1167 94 909 664 244 31 0
ODI 0 281 51 590 647 343 39 0
CDI 0 119 25 363 770 541 76 32
VCDI 0 112 20 462 1953 11684 19939 43149

Date: 2022-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82242 13957 194 1106 395 109 2 0
OW 50 1358 100 1075 591 32 1 0
VODI 0 616 69 923 1668 136 1 0
ODI 0 159 25 381 1124 428 39 0
CDI 0 50 17 192 889 1214 367 21
VCDI 0 50 3 188 1262 11151 22112 42751
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82242 13907 182 1187 613 131 3 0
OW 50 1267 98 813 540 126 2 0
VODI 0 634 73 840 1332 319 105 0
ODI 0 176 34 460 1111 472 165 0
CDI 0 112 12 239 865 968 212 26
VCDI 0 94 9 326 1468 11054 22035 42746

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81588 12671 167 711 674 328 8 0
OW 52 828 65 799 884 147 5 0
VODI 0 341 43 482 1449 737 19 0
ODI 0 139 20 259 1180 1063 36 0
CDI 0 56 7 149 781 1661 298 6
VCDI 0 56 8 150 619 8802 21313 48447
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81583 12257 146 729 883 446 16 0
OW 57 871 61 567 737 276 20 0
VODI 0 590 63 566 1469 789 37 0
ODI 0 184 18 333 881 1115 254 0
CDI 0 79 12 130 725 1614 354 54
VCDI 0 110 10 225 892 8498 20998 48399


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 16 Dec 2022 02:54:29 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy