Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83594 10562 97 296 118 7 0 0
OW 29 223 41 317 69 3 0 0
VODI 0 106 14 287 258 2 0 0
ODI 0 15 8 173 343 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 494 151 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 675 2724 3875 4474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83311 10546 94 340 137 18 0 0
OW 30 240 36 209 146 2 0 0
VODI 0 114 28 266 283 3 0 0
ODI 0 23 6 172 288 38 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 100 548 171 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 736 2825 4025 4339
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83970 9827 114 469 142 11 0 0
OW 32 164 25 264 198 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 13 190 398 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 88 397 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 402 516 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 378 2726 4076 4527
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83114 10412 108 419 164 30 0 0
OW 34 182 39 246 150 4 0 0
VODI 0 34 12 246 327 25 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 96 408 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 498 447 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 357 2088 4816 4740
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83114 10441 114 445 180 30 0 0
OW 34 156 33 235 142 6 0 0
VODI 0 31 12 238 294 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 383 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 518 386 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 387 2148 4819 4740

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82241 11071 127 393 190 57 0 0
OW 35 182 31 247 136 18 0 0
VODI 0 48 18 267 233 39 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 110 360 68 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 412 525 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 310 1779 4856 5268
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82241 11090 127 417 201 58 0 0
OW 35 165 31 240 130 18 0 0
VODI 0 46 17 253 228 43 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 107 329 57 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 413 448 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 340 1862 4859 5268

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82597 10880 120 410 188 113 12 0
OW 35 172 42 274 89 15 0 0
VODI 0 42 11 279 259 10 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 116 345 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 482 291 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 375 3125 4425 4311
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82597 10733 111 372 210 123 12 0
OW 35 243 34 205 79 6 0 0
VODI 0 103 24 258 187 8 0 0
ODI 0 17 7 164 218 39 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 79 464 152 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 580 3278 4425 4311

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82293 11209 96 311 221 112 5 0
OW 35 282 40 213 76 15 0 0
VODI 0 108 28 233 191 8 0 0
ODI 0 39 4 145 236 22 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 86 415 241 20 0
VCDI 0 0 0 59 818 4771 3982 2777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82293 11025 83 315 237 121 5 0
OW 35 312 40 156 67 7 0 0
VODI 0 190 28 215 170 2 0 0
ODI 0 66 10 156 208 17 0 0
CDI 0 33 5 87 407 287 13 0
VCDI 0 18 5 118 868 4735 3989 2777

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83440 10248 69 276 148 85 23 0
OW 35 446 24 135 54 15 0 0
VODI 0 256 48 170 137 9 0 0
ODI 0 74 22 160 169 14 0 0
CDI 0 34 6 157 278 89 1 0
VCDI 0 16 6 132 928 4348 4003 3045
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83425 9840 65 265 166 94 23 0
OW 50 465 16 103 24 9 0 0
VODI 0 396 13 115 109 5 0 0
ODI 0 202 38 99 125 11 0 0
CDI 0 106 25 182 301 191 2 0
VCDI 0 65 18 266 989 4250 4002 3045


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