Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 796 1631 12 71 23 0 0 0
OW 0 71 11 106 44 5 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 62 89 29 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 14 76 75 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 90 246 112 4
VCDI 0 0 0 3 61 2160 9625 16612
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 631 1619 15 58 5 0 0 0
OW 0 156 14 85 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 21 7 77 126 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 16 80 63 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 59 213 109 22
VCDI 0 0 0 1 69 955 10413 17197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 503 1819 24 84 43 0 0 0
OW 0 58 8 63 38 6 0 0
VODI 0 7 5 112 65 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 82 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 67 146 71 72
VCDI 0 0 0 3 132 908 11161 16501
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 590 1714 18 77 1 0 0 0
OW 0 103 6 38 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 7 90 47 2 0 0
ODI 0 13 5 72 59 6 0 0
CDI 0 13 2 40 67 68 58 0
VCDI 0 10 4 59 206 1006 8416 19205
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 590 1694 18 70 5 0 0 0
OW 0 113 3 41 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 10 76 50 2 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 74 57 6 0 0
CDI 0 13 3 46 57 69 56 0
VCDI 0 12 4 69 216 1005 8418 19205

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 306 1732 20 59 8 0 0 0
OW 1 98 19 77 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 4 82 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 36 126 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 15 137 47 40 22
VCDI 0 0 1 10 201 1252 8391 19238
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 306 1705 20 63 5 0 0 0
OW 1 117 17 66 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 6 87 75 2 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 37 91 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 14 151 42 37 17
VCDI 0 0 1 12 226 1257 8394 19243

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 1903 16 38 3 0 0 0
OW 1 101 12 48 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 10 109 111 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 20 134 17 0 0
CDI 0 9 1 8 80 132 13 3
VCDI 0 9 3 33 99 573 5236 23231
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75 1719 19 52 4 0 0 0
OW 1 248 7 37 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 12 87 87 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 33 108 9 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 5 81 54 13 9
VCDI 0 17 4 42 141 659 5236 23225

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 1773 17 59 24 0 0 0
OW 0 116 11 44 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 31 14 114 74 31 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 46 88 32 0 0
CDI 0 8 1 7 87 127 24 4
VCDI 0 14 5 25 104 582 4732 23788
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 1604 20 70 28 0 0 0
OW 0 213 9 42 15 2 0 0
VODI 0 97 13 81 59 30 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 61 62 21 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 10 95 72 30 7
VCDI 0 18 6 31 134 648 4726 23785

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1748 22 62 70 0 0 0
OW 0 122 11 38 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 13 83 73 11 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 60 93 42 0 0
CDI 0 10 1 7 103 107 18 8
VCDI 0 14 5 24 108 675 6925 21560
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1536 23 69 69 0 0 0
OW 0 248 7 33 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 130 15 78 68 15 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 58 72 28 0 0
CDI 0 9 0 16 93 69 24 15
VCDI 0 8 5 20 138 723 6919 21553


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