Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5410 6068 42 139 53 25 0 0
OW 0 497 34 242 50 15 0 0
VODI 0 335 15 282 197 32 0 0
ODI 0 153 9 176 243 81 8 0
CDI 1 35 7 57 379 350 33 0
VCDI 0 2 1 20 576 4486 10168 15645
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5299 5447 49 188 86 27 0 0
OW 48 435 32 253 77 23 0 0
VODI 44 218 10 181 274 33 5 0
ODI 20 226 9 117 207 108 10 0
CDI 2 187 11 77 242 321 23 0
VCDI 0 3 0 29 335 3358 7882 19970
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5371 5315 42 196 40 22 0 0
OW 1 406 35 152 175 3 0 0
VODI 0 202 17 211 228 17 3 0
ODI 0 91 12 157 288 39 1 0
CDI 0 12 9 210 389 289 6 0
VCDI 0 4 0 85 579 3367 9165 18727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4627 6038 30 97 20 12 0 0
OW 3 480 45 260 58 6 0 0
VODI 0 210 27 324 194 3 0 0
ODI 0 57 11 204 355 8 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 138 554 109 3 0
VCDI 0 0 1 79 1160 5692 8363 16681
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4627 6151 45 189 37 16 0 0
OW 3 382 36 182 87 2 0 0
VODI 0 196 21 305 176 3 0 0
ODI 0 54 11 193 321 11 2 0
CDI 0 14 5 126 536 96 1 0
VCDI 0 0 1 107 1184 5702 8363 16681

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3534 6344 70 289 29 5 0 0
OW 11 461 33 328 215 22 2 0
VODI 0 233 21 212 412 35 1 0
ODI 0 57 15 124 404 106 4 0
CDI 0 18 4 95 385 336 4 2
VCDI 0 1 1 14 1042 7173 8213 15611
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3539 6463 73 376 98 15 1 0
OW 6 364 29 229 205 13 1 0
VODI 0 208 19 221 348 58 1 0
ODI 0 65 15 119 377 92 6 0
CDI 0 12 7 80 398 329 2 5
VCDI 0 2 1 37 1061 7170 8213 15608

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2452 6418 71 281 10 0 0 0
OW 49 480 60 355 109 0 0 0
VODI 3 91 21 372 470 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 7 71 702 198 13 0
CDI 0 2 2 31 490 707 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 44 521 6554 8242 17006
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2483 6535 99 470 115 0 13 0
OW 21 281 35 273 244 12 5 0
VODI 0 106 11 209 429 190 1 0
ODI 0 52 11 71 350 204 2 0
CDI 0 20 2 37 447 336 11 1
VCDI 0 19 3 94 717 6719 8233 17005

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2612 5404 74 309 173 0 0 0
OW 67 656 58 322 82 0 0 0
VODI 20 122 25 372 335 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 91 491 128 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 445 408 33 14
VCDI 0 0 0 26 530 5089 9120 18807
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2618 5533 99 451 168 0 0 11
OW 70 430 25 233 200 3 4 4
VODI 11 176 22 226 404 82 4 2
ODI 0 45 12 96 328 212 5 2
CDI 0 2 2 78 326 420 29 7
VCDI 0 0 0 76 630 4914 9111 18795

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3186 3995 45 447 162 0 0 0
OW 76 963 53 331 134 3 0 0
VODI 18 202 26 353 300 24 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 143 390 85 0 0
CDI 0 8 2 40 422 219 34 5
VCDI 0 0 0 16 484 4152 10016 19507
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3174 4217 70 544 164 11 0 0
OW 83 553 21 294 137 21 2 13
VODI 22 278 23 262 385 39 5 4
ODI 1 114 11 114 374 149 1 2
CDI 0 21 4 61 303 350 32 10
VCDI 0 5 2 55 529 3913 10010 19483


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