Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88229 9116 60 379 128 9 0 0
OW 16 276 22 244 171 18 0 0
VODI 0 84 9 88 72 22 0 0
ODI 0 48 1 72 76 25 2 0
CDI 0 42 5 60 160 62 7 0
VCDI 0 66 8 98 303 1065 3401 4656
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87388 8931 76 370 162 21 0 0
OW 18 210 25 400 233 48 0 0
VODI 0 70 3 181 477 191 0 0
ODI 0 41 3 53 167 59 0 0
CDI 0 35 5 50 228 107 1 0
VCDI 0 53 6 65 206 1112 3513 4592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86513 9598 90 383 99 0 0 0
OW 20 105 26 263 160 7 0 0
VODI 0 35 4 192 377 60 0 0
ODI 0 24 2 41 356 371 0 0
CDI 0 12 5 32 208 503 31 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 172 946 4049 4374
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86586 8985 90 380 101 2 0 0
OW 26 201 34 356 95 1 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 222 307 11 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 78 395 69 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 50 420 357 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 312 1622 3174 5147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86586 8951 91 391 111 2 0 0
OW 26 227 32 268 92 1 0 0
VODI 0 47 9 289 294 20 0 0
ODI 0 5 7 81 358 73 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 52 436 340 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 339 1626 3156 5147

Date: 2022-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85326 9609 76 385 151 9 0 0
OW 28 294 45 365 143 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 13 278 293 5 0 0
ODI 0 11 8 84 354 41 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 47 384 272 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 35 286 1703 4020 4763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85326 9588 82 409 165 9 0 0
OW 28 284 35 303 120 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 17 305 256 14 0 0
ODI 0 12 5 93 358 42 0 0
CDI 0 2 5 47 370 293 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 37 342 1672 3992 4763

Date: 2022-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84169 10491 94 409 152 30 0 0
OW 28 165 30 372 123 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 12 301 281 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 511 45 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 548 293 3 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 145 1610 3966 5179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84169 10285 91 365 157 30 0 0
OW 28 251 22 307 124 0 0 0
VODI 0 152 17 319 364 10 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 140 296 56 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 467 211 16 1
VCDI 0 0 0 5 352 1682 3948 5178

Date: 2022-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84137 10247 99 382 152 0 0 0
OW 29 154 31 314 136 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 14 302 294 13 0 0
ODI 0 16 5 149 347 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 537 253 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 470 2490 3932 4480
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84137 10095 91 328 179 0 0 0
OW 29 233 29 267 143 1 0 0
VODI 0 97 21 337 291 37 0 0
ODI 0 30 6 196 349 93 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 37 519 233 0 0
VCDI 0 1 0 24 455 2425 3932 4480

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83594 10562 97 296 118 7 0 0
OW 29 223 41 317 69 3 0 0
VODI 0 106 14 287 258 2 0 0
ODI 0 15 8 173 343 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 120 494 151 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 675 2724 3875 4474
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83594 10422 96 293 149 11 0 0
OW 29 275 33 245 87 1 0 0
VODI 0 162 23 292 286 20 0 0
ODI 0 40 6 200 318 94 0 0
CDI 0 6 1 138 524 221 15 0
VCDI 0 1 1 30 593 2560 3860 4474


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